Yuri Ito

Trends and future projections of cervical cancer‐related outcomes in Japan: What happens if the HPV vaccine program is not implemented?

AbstractContrary to other developed countries, in Japan, recent years have seen increases in cervical cancer incidence and mortality among young people. However, the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine program, a key measure for avoiding cervical cancer, has been virtually suspended. Temporal changes in cervical cancer profiles in this unique situation have not been fully investigated epidemiologically. Our study aimed to determine the current status and future trends of the incidence and mortality of cervical cancer and precancerous lesions in Japan. Mortality rates of cervical cancer during 1975 to 2016 and incidence rates of cervical cancer and cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 3 during 1975 to 2013 were examined using vital statistics and population‐based cancer registry data in Japan. Bayesian age‐period‐cohort analyses were performed to analyze temporal changes of the three cervical cancer‐related outcomes. We also calculated projections to 2028 for the three outcomes, assuming that HPV vaccination coverage and screening rates in Japan would be maintained at the current level after the resumption of the national vaccination program. The risk of occurrence of the three outcomes showed similar changes by birth cohort, peaking in the mid‐1890s to 1900s birth cohorts, declining sharply in the 1940s birth cohort, and persistently increasing in the 1950s and later birth cohorts. Projections to 2028 show increases in cervical cancer incidence and mortality in the 30 to 69 age group, with a particular increase in CIN3 incidence in the 25 to 49 age group, if HPV vaccine programs and screening are not effectively implemented. These findings revealed an increasing cervical disease burden among reproductive age females in Japan.

Prognostic impact of lymphadenectomy in patients with advanced ovarian clear cell carcinoma: an ancillary analysis of the JGOG3017-A4 study

Abstract Background Systematic pelvic and aortic lymphadenectomy in stage IIB–IVB patients with epithelial ovarian cancer, undergoing complete abdominal macroscopic resection with normal lymph nodes, was revealed to have no prognostic significance for survival in the LION trial. However, the proportion of patients with ovarian clear cell carcinoma (OCCC) in the LION trial was only 2.2%, so the significance of systematic retroperitoneal lymphadenectomy in patients with OCCC remains unclear. Methods We conducted an ancillary analysis of 619 patients enrolled in a randomized phase III trial (JGOG 3017) in patients with OCCC. Of these, 89 were stage IIB to IVB, underwent a complete macroscopic resection, and had no grossly enlarged lymph nodes intraoperatively. Patients were divided into two groups: group A with lymphadenectomy and group B without lymphadenectomy. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to calculate progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) and the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model were used to compare the two groups. Results Among the 89 patients, 77 (86.5%) underwent a lymphadenectomy (group A), while 12 (13.5%) did not (group B). Three-year PFS were 62.3% in group A and 58.3% in group B ( p  = 0.7705). Three-year OS were 73.0% in group A and 65.6% in group B ( p  = 0.6346). No significant differences were observed between two groups. Conclusion This study did not demonstrate a definitive survival benefit from systematic lymphadenectomy in advanced OCCC patients with complete resection and clinically negative nodes. Given the small sample size, these results should be interpreted with caution and regarded as exploratory.

Effectiveness of catch‐up and routine program of the 9‐valent vaccine on cervical cancer risk reduction in Japan

AbstractIn 2013, the national human papillomavirus (HPV) immunization program began. However, in June 2013, Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) announced a “temporary” suspension of its recommendation for the human papillomavirus vaccine. Finally, in November 2021, the MHLW ended its suspension of the recommendation of the HPV vaccine. To address the 9‐year gap in HPV vaccinations the suspension had caused, the MHLW conducted a program of catch‐up vaccinations from April 2022 to March 2025. Finally, in April 2023, the 9‐valent HPV vaccine was approved for both the routine and catch‐up vaccination programs in Japan. In this study, we investigated the potential effects of the introduction of the 9‐valent vaccine on the increased risk of cervical cancer in females born after fiscal year (FY) 2000. We estimated the lifetime relative risk of cervical cancer incidence and death using the improved routine and catch‐up vaccination rates after the recent resumption of the governmental recommendation for women and girls to have the HPV vaccination. These relative risks were calculated using a lifetime risk of 1.000 for cervical cancer incidence and death for females born in FY 1993. We predicted that even if a 90% vaccination rate were to be achieved by FY 2024 with the 9‐valent vaccine among women born between FY 2000 and FY 2005, the risk would remain higher than for the vaccination generation. Therefore, for women born between FY 2000 and FY 2005, it will be necessary to significantly improve the cervical cancer screening rate to compensate for this increased risk.