Richard Edmondson

Patient and clinician priorities for information on treatment outcomes for advanced ovarian cancer: a Delphi exercise

Patients with advanced ovarian cancer face a range of treatment options, and there is unwarranted variation in treatment decision-making between UK providers. Decision support tools that produce data on treatment outcomes as a function of individual patient characteristics, would help both patients and clinicians to make informed, preference- and values-based choices. However, data on treatment outcomes to include in such tools are lacking. Following a literature review, a questionnaire was designed for use in a Delphi process to establish which treatment outcomes are important to both patients and clinicians in decision-making for treatment for advanced ovarian cancer. Patient and clinician panels were established. Following 2 Delphi rounds, consensus was achieved for 7/11 items in the patient panel and 8/11 items in the clinician panel. Consensus across both panels was achieved for inclusion of both overall survival and progression free survival as important items in the decision-making process, although there remained differences of opinion as to whether these should be presented as relative or absolute values. Information needs for treatment decision-making in ovarian cancer differ between and within patient and clinician groups. Whilst overall survival and progression free survival are universally accepted as important data items, decision support tools will need to be nuanced to allow presentation of a range of outcomes and associated probabilities, and in a range of formats, that can be tailored to the preferences of clinician and patients.

Detection of MCM5 as a novel non-invasive aid for the diagnosis of endometrial and ovarian tumours

AbstractBackgroundMCM5 is a protein involved in DNA replication, facilitating cell proliferation. In normal epithelium MCM5 expression is restricted to the cells in the basal proliferative compartments, however in the presence of a tumour MCM5 positive cells are present at the surface epithelium and are shed into bodily fluids. The aim of this study was to determine the sensitivity of MCM5 as a biomarker for the detection of endometrial and ovarian cancer.MethodsPatients with known ovarian or endometrial cancers, or known benign gynaecological conditions, were enrolled. Informed consent was obtained prior to the collection of full void urine, and either a vaginal tampon (worn for 6–8 h), or a vaginal swab. Vaginal secretions were extracted from the tampon or swab, centrifuged and lysed. Urine samples were centrifuged and lysed. MCM5 levels were determined by MCM5-ELISA (Arquer Diagnostics Ltd).Results125 patients completed the study protocol, 41 patients had endometrial cancer, 26 ovarian cancer, and 58 benign controls. All patients provided a urine sample and either a tampon or vaginal swab sample. Urine MCM5 levels were higher in cancer patients than controls (p < 0.0001), there was no significant difference in levels between tampon samples or vaginal swab samples in cancer patients when compared to controls.Performance of MCM5 to discriminate cancer from benign disease was high with an area under the ROC curve of 0.83 for endometrial cancer and 0.68 for ovarian cancer. Using a cut off of 12 pg/mL, overall sensitivity for endometrial cancer was 87.8, and 61.5% for ovarian cancer with a specificity of 75.9%.ConclusionsMCM5 is a novel sensitive and specific biomarker for the detection of ovarian and endometrial tumours in urine samples, which is likely to have clinical utility as a diagnostic aid.

PROgesterone Therapy for Endometrial Cancer Prevention in Obese Women (PROTEC) Trial: A Feasibility Study

Abstract Obesity is the major etiologic driver for endometrial cancer. The levonorgestrel intrauterine system (LNG-IUS) reduces the risk of endometrial cancer and its precursor, atypical hyperplasia. We assessed feasibility and uptake of the LNG-IUS for primary prevention of endometrial cancer in high-risk women and its impact on endometrial tissue biomarkers. Women with class-III obesity [body mass index (BMI) > 40 kg/m2] and histologically normal endometrium were invited to participate in a clinical trial of the LNG-IUS for endometrial protection. Recruitment, successful LNG-IUS insertion, and adherence to trial procedures were recorded. We measured impact of the LNG-IUS on circulating biomarkers of endometrial cancer risk, endometrial proliferation (Ki-67, pAKT, PTEN), endometrial hormone receptor status [estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor (PR)], mental wellbeing, and menstrual function. At 6 months, women chose to keep their LNG-IUS or have it removed. In total, 103 women were approached, 54 were offered a participant information sheet, 35 agreed to participate, and 25 received a LNG-IUS. Their median age and BMI were 54 years [interquartile range (IQR) 52–57] and 47 kg/m2 (IQR 44–51), respectively. Three women (3/35, 9%) were ineligible due to atypical hyperplasia/endometrial cancer on their baseline biopsy. The LNG-IUS was well tolerated and had a positive overall effect on bleeding patterns and mental wellbeing. The LNG-IUS was associated with endometrial morphologic change, reduced Ki-67, and PR expression, but circulating biomarkers of endometrial cancer risk were unchanged. All but one woman (96%) kept her LNG-IUS. The LNG-IUS appears to be acceptable to some women with class-III obesity for primary prevention of endometrial cancer, which could provide a strategy for a prevention trial. Prevention Relevance: Novel strategies are urgently needed to prevent the rise in endometrial cancer diagnoses predicted by escalating obesity rates. Here, we show that women with class III obesity are willing to engage in risk reduction with a levonorgestrel intrauterine system, which could provide a strategy for an endometrial cancer prevention trial.

Developing a platform to investigate the heterogeneity of outcomes for patients with ovarian cancer

Background The geographical variation in treatment patterns for patients with ovarian cancer is profound, long-standing and worrying. Although these variations were highlighted in a recent UK registry audit, granular data to provide explanations for these variations have been lacking. Methods A consortium of six UK centres was generated to curate and submit data for all patients treated at their centre for a 2-year period. Descriptive statistics were combined with Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis to confirm the findings from the national registry audit and identify possible drivers of the heterogeneity previously described. Results Records for 1117 patients treated in six centres in 2018 and 2019 were collated. Although there were differences in the clinical characteristics of patients between centres, these were not enough to account for the significant variation in survival outcomes between centres (p<0.001). Treatment rates varied between centres with between 30% and 76% of patients receiving combination therapy but in Cox models ‘treatment centre’ remained a predictor of 1 year survival independent of patient, tumour factors and treatment choice. Conclusion Variations in outcome seen between UK centres are not related solely to casemix but rather to the approach and ethos of each centre towards advanced ovarian cancer treatment options. Although important, differences in treatment patterns do not completely explain the variations seen and further work is required to understand the drivers of difference seen.

Multi-Maintenance Olaparib Therapy in Relapsed, Germline BRCA1/2 -Mutant High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer (MOLTO): A Phase II Trial

Abstract Purpose: A single maintenance course of a PARP inhibitor (PARPi) improves progression-free survival (PFS) in germline BRCA1/2-mutant high-grade serous ovarian cancer (gBRCAm-HGSOC). The feasibility of a second maintenance course of PARPi was unknown. Patients and Methods: Phase II trial with two entry points (EP1, EP2). Patients were recruited prior to rechallenge platinum. Patients with relapsed, gBRCAm-HGSOC were enrolled at EP1 if they were PARPi-naïve. Patients enrolled at EP2 had received their first course of olaparib prior to trial entry. EP1 patients were retreated with olaparib after RECIST complete/partial response (CR/PR) to platinum. EP2 patients were retreated with olaparib ± cediranib after RECIST CR/PR/stable disease to platinum and according to the platinum-free interval. Co-primary outcomes were the proportion of patients who received a second course of olaparib and the proportion who received olaparib retreatment for ≥6 months. Functional homologous recombination deficiency (HRD), somatic copy-number alteration (SCNA), and BRCAm reversions were investigated in tumor and liquid biopsies. Results: Twenty-seven patients were treated (EP1 = 17, EP2 = 10), and 19 were evaluable. Twelve patients (63%) received a second course of olaparib and 4 received olaparib retreatment for ≥6 months. Common grade ≥2 adverse events during olaparib retreatment were anemia, nausea, and fatigue. No cases of MDS/AML occurred. Mean duration of olaparib treatment and retreatment differed (12.1 months vs. 4.4 months; P < 0.001). Functional HRD and SCNA did not predict PFS. A BRCA2 reversion mutation was detected in a post-olaparib liquid biopsy. Conclusions: A second course of olaparib can be safely administered to women with gBRCAm-HGSOC but is only modestly efficacious. See related commentary by Gonzalez-Ochoa and Oza, p. 2563

MDT practice determines treatment pathway for patients with advanced ovarian cancer: A multi-centre observational study

To investigate decision making for patients with advanced ovarian cancer as a possible explanation of geographical variation in treatment patterns. We carried out a multi-centre observational study in multidisciplinary teams meetings for five major UK cancer centres. All patients presenting to five cancer centres with advanced ovarian cancer over a six-week period. The GO-MDT-MODe tool was used to provide a measure of participation and quality of case discussion for all cases of advanced ovarian cancer. MDT scores were correlated with surgical data extracted from national audit data. Data were recorded for overall MDT performance. A total of 870 case discussions, including 145 cases of advanced ovarian cancer, were observed. MDTs varied in structure, format and time allocation between centres. Cluster analysis showed significant variation in quality and participation of discussion between centres (p < 0.0025) and this correlated with the proportion of patients in the wider cancer alliance undergoing surgery. We have shown that at least part of the variation in practice seen in the UK correlates with different behaviours within MDTs. Increasing time for discussion and encouraging participation from all staff groups may increase proportions of patients undergoing optimal treatment regimens.

A three protein signature fails to externally validate as a biomarker to predict surgical outcome in high-grade epithelial ovarian cancer

IntroductionFor patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer, complete surgical cytoreduction remains the strongest predictor of outcome. However, identifying patients who are likely to benefit from such surgery remains elusive and to date few surgical outcome prediction tools have been validated. Here we attempted to externally validate a promising three protein signature, which had previously shown strong association with suboptimal surgical debulking (AUC 0.89, accuracy 92.8%), (Riester, M., et al., (2014)).Methods238 high-grade epithelial ovarian cancer samples were collected from patients who participated in a large multicentre trial (ICON5). Samples were collected at the time of initial surgery and before randomisation. Surgical outcome data were collated from prospectively collected study records. Immunohistochemical scores were generated by two independent observers for the three proteins in the original signature (POSTN, CXCL14 and pSmad2/3). Predictive values were generated for individual and combination protein signatures.ResultsWhen assessed individually, none of the proteins showed any evidence of predictive affinity for suboptimal surgical outcome in our cohort (AUC POSTN 0.55, pSmad 2/3 0.53, CXCL 14 0.62). The combined signature again showed poor predictive ability with an AUC 0.58.ConclusionsDespite showing original promise, when this protein signature is applied to a large external cohort, it is unable to accurately predict surgical outcomes. This could be attributed to overfitting of the original model, or differences in surgical practice between cohorts.

The DNA damage response in advanced ovarian cancer: functional analysis combined with machine learning identifies signatures that correlate with chemotherapy sensitivity and patient outcome

AbstractBackgroundOvarian cancers are hallmarked by chromosomal instability. New therapies deliver improved patient outcomes in relevant phenotypes, however therapy resistance and poor long-term survival signal requirements for better patient preselection. An impaired DNA damage response (DDR) is a major chemosensitivity determinant. Comprising five pathways, DDR redundancy is complex and rarely studied alongside chemoresistance influence from mitochondrial dysfunction. We developed functional assays to monitor DDR and mitochondrial states and trialled this suite on patient explants.MethodsWe profiled DDR and mitochondrial signatures in cultures from 16 primary-setting ovarian cancer patients receiving platinum chemotherapy. Explant signature relationships to patient progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by multiple statistical and machine-learning methods.ResultsDR dysregulation was wide-ranging. Defective HR (HRD) and NHEJ were near-mutually exclusive. HRD patients (44%) had increased SSB abrogation. HR competence was associated with perturbed mitochondria (78% vs 57% HRD) while every relapse patient harboured dysfunctional mitochondria. DDR signatures classified explant platinum cytotoxicity and mitochondrial dysregulation. Importantly, explant signatures classified patient PFS and OS.ConclusionsWhilst individual pathway scores are mechanistically insufficient to describe resistance, holistic DDR and mitochondrial states accurately predict patient survival. Our assay suite demonstrates promise for translational chemosensitivity prediction.

Specialist oncological surgery for removal of the ovaries and fallopian tubes in BRCA1 and BRCA2 pathogenic variant carriers may reduce primary peritoneal cancer risk to very low levels

AbstractRisk‐reducing bilateral salpingo‐oophorectomy (RRBSO) is highly effective for the prevention of high‐grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) in BRCA1/2 pathogenic variant carriers (PVCs), but does not completely eliminate future risk of primary peritoneal cancer (PPC). The requirement to completely remove fallopian tubes at RRBSO and carefully exclude occult cancer/serous tubal intraepithelial carcinoma (STIC) lesions may not have been appreciated historically. We calculated rates of HGSOC and PPC in confirmed BRCA1/2 PVCs registered on the regional database in those who did (cases) and did not (controls) undergo RRBSO after genetic testing. Expected annual rates of ovarian/peritoneal cancer were 1% for BRCA1 ≥ 35 years and 0.5% for BRCA2 ≥ 45 years. Follow‐up before 35/45 years was “risk free” and lead time excluded RRBSO &lt;35 years and &lt;45 years for BRCA1 and BRCA2, respectively. Women were followed from personal mutation report (controls) or RRBSO (cases) to death, ovarian/peritoneal cancer or last follow‐up, whichever was sooner. In total, 891 cases (BRCA1 = 468, BRCA2 = 423) and 1302 controls had follow‐up ≥35 years (BRCA1 = 736) and ≥45 years (BRCA2 = 566), respectively, over a total of 7261.1 risk eligible years (mean = 8.15 years). Twenty‐one occult ovarian cancers were found at RRBSO (2.4%), 16 at stage 1. Post RRBSO, 56.97 ovarian/peritoneal cancers were expected but only 3 were observed (HR = 0.053; 95% CI = 0.013‐0.14), with combined Kaplan‐Meier analysis HR = 0.029 (95% CI = 0.009‐0.100, P &lt; .001). Risk reduction was greater in specialist (HR = 0.03; 95% CI = 0.001‐0.13) compared to non‐specialist centres (HR = 0.11; 95% CI = 0.02‐0.37) (P = .07). In controls, 23.35 ovarian/peritoneal cancers were expected with 32 observed (HR = 1.37; 95% CI = 0.95‐1.91). RRBSO &lt;35/&lt;45 years reduces the risk of ovarian/peritoneal cancer by 95% in BRCA1/2 PVCs and may be greater in specialist centres.

Factors determining ultra-short-term survival and the commencement of active treatment in high-grade serous ovarian cancer: a case comparison study

Abstract Background Despite improvements in median survival some patients with advanced ovarian cancer die within 100 days of diagnosis; the reasons for which remain poorly understood. Here we investigate if ultra short-term survival can be explained by patient characteristics or treatment pathways. Methods A nested case comparison study was used to examine differences between patients with high grade serous ovarian/fallopian tube cancer who died within 100 days (n = 28) compared to a comparison group of patients matched for histology and including any survival greater than 100 days (n = 134). Results Cases and comparison patients had similar ages, BMI, ACE-27, deprivation indices, and distribution of disease on CT. There were no significant delays in time to diagnosis or treatment (p = 0.68) between the groups. However, cases had lower serum albumin, haemoglobin and higher platelet counts than matched comparison patients (p &lt; 0.0001) and a worse performance score (P = 0.006). Conclusion Patients who die rapidly after a diagnosis of ovarian cancer are only slightly older and have similar pre treatment frailty compared to patients whose survival approaches the median. However they do appear to undergo greater physiological compromise as a result of their disease.

Quality of life from cytoreductive surgery in advanced ovarian cancer: Investigating the association between disease burden and surgical complexity in the international, prospective, SOCQER‐2 cohort study

AbstractObjectiveTo investigate quality of life (QoL) and association with surgical complexity and disease burden after surgical resection for advanced ovarian cancer in centres with variation in surgical approach.DesignProspective multicentre observational study.SettingGynaecological cancer surgery centres in the UK, Kolkata, India, and Melbourne, Australia.SamplePatients undergoing surgical resection (with low, intermediate or high surgical complexity score, SCS) for late‐stage ovarian cancer.Main Outcome MeasuresPrimary: change in global score on the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) core quality‐of‐life questionnaire (QLQ‐C30). Secondary: EORTC ovarian cancer module (OV28), progression‐free survival.ResultsPatients’ preoperative disease burden and SCS varied between centres, confirming differences in surgical ethos. QoL response rates were 90% up to 18 months. Mean change from the pre‐surgical baseline in the EORTC QLQ‐C30 was 3.4 (SD 1.8, n = 88) in the low, 4.0 (SD 2.1, n = 55) in the intermediate and 4.3 (SD 2.1, n = 52) in the high‐SCS group after 6 weeks (p = 0.048), and 4.3 (SD 2.1, n = 51), 5.1 (SD 2.2, n = 41) and 5.1 (SD 2.2, n = 35), respectively, after 12 months (p = 0.133). In a repeated‐measures model, there were no clinically or statistically meaningful differences in EORTC QLQ‐C30 global scores between the three SCS groups (p = 0.840), but there was a small statistically significant improvement in all groups over time (p &lt; 0.001). The high‐SCS group experienced small to moderate decreases in physical (p = 0.004), role (p = 0.016) and emotional (p = 0.001) function at 6 weeks post‐surgery, which resolved by 6–12 months.ConclusionsThe global QoL of patients undergoing low‐, intermediate‐ and high‐SCS surgery improved at 12 months after surgery and was no worse in patients undergoing extensive surgery.Tweetable AbstractCompared with surgery of lower complexity, extensive surgery does not result in poorer quality of life in patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

Cervical cancer and COVID—an assessment of the initial effect of the pandemic and subsequent projection of impact for women in England: A cohort study

AbstractObjectiveTo review the effect of the COVID‐19 pandemic on the diagnosis of cervical cancer and model the impact on workload over the next 3 years.DesignA retrospective, control, cohort study.SettingSix cancer centres in the North of England representing a combined population of 11.5 million.MethodsData were collected retrospectively for all diagnoses of cervical cancer during May–October 2019 (Pre‐COVID cohort) and May–October 2020 (COVID cohort). Data were used to generate tools to forecast case numbers for the next 3 years.Main outcome measuresHistology, stage, presentation, onset of symptoms, investigation and type of treatment. Patients with recurrent disease were excluded.Results406 patients were registered across the study periods; 233 in 2019 and 173 in 2020, representing a 25.7% (n = 60) reduction in absolute numbers of diagnoses. This was accounted for by a reduction in the number of low stage cases (104 in 2019 to 77 in 2020). Adding these data to the additional cases associated with a temporary cessation in screening during the pandemic allowed development of forecasts, suggesting that over the next 3 years there would be 586, 228 and 105 extra cases of local, regional and distant disease, respectively, throughout England. Projection tools suggest that increasing surgical capacity by two or three cases per month per centre would eradicate this excess by 12 months and 7 months, respectively.ConclusionsThere is likely to be a significant increase in cervical cancer cases presenting over the next 3 years. Increased surgical capacity could mitigate this with little increase in morbidity or mortality.Tweetable AbstractCovid will result in 919 extra cases of cervical cancer in England alone. Effects can be mitigated by increasing surgical capacity.

Germline BRCA1/2 status and chemotherapy response score in high-grade serous ovarian cancer

Abstract Background High-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) can be treated with platinum-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) and delayed primary surgery (DPS). Histopathological response to NACT can be assessed using Böhm’s chemotherapy response score (CRS). We investigated whether germline BRCA1/2 (gBRCA1/2) genotype associated with omental CRS phenotype. Methods A retrospective study of patients with newly diagnosed FIGO stage IIIC/IV HGSOC prescribed NACT and tested for gBRCA1/2 pathogenic variants (PVs) between September 2017 and December 2022 at The Christie Hospital. The Cox proportional hazards model evaluated the association between survival and key clinical factors. The chi-square test assessed the association between CRS3 (no/minimal residual tumour) and gBRCA1/2 status. Results Of 586 eligible patients, 393 underwent DPS and had a CRS reported. Independent prognostic factors by multivariable analysis were gBRCA1/2 status (PV versus wild type [WT]), CRS (3 versus 1 + 2), surgical outcome (complete versus optimal/suboptimal) and first-line poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase-1/2 inhibitor maintenance therapy (yes versus no) (all P &lt; 0.05). There was a non-significant trend for tumours with a gBRCA2 PV having CRS3 versus WT (odds ratio [OR] = 2.13, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.95–4.91; P = 0.0647). By contrast, tumours with a gBRCA1 PV were significantly less likely to have CRS3 than WT (OR = 0.35, 95%CI 0.14–0.91; P = 0.0291). Conclusions Germline BRCA1/2 genotype was not clearly associated with superior omental CRS. Further research is required to understand how HGSOC biology defines CRS.

Evaluation of MCM5 in Postmenopausal Bleeding Patients

The objective of this multi-centre, prospective study, is to evaluate the performance of a urine MCM5 ELISA test (ADXGYNAE) in the detection of endometrial cancer in patients with postmenopausal bleeding. Patients attending a gynaecology clinic for investigation of postmenopausal bleeding will be recruited and asked to provide a urine sample to be tested. The results of the MCM5 test will be recorded and compared to the patient's routine investigations to determine the clinical utility of the test as an aid in the diagnosis of endometrial cancer.