Megan A. Clarke

State-Specific Incidence of Endometrial Cancer in the United States by Histologic Subtype Corrected for Hysterectomy Prevalence from 2010 to 2019

Abstract Background: Accurate reporting of state-specific endometrial cancer incidence is important for informing cancer control efforts and may lead to new hypotheses about environmental and/or geographic risk factors. Previous studies have demonstrated the importance of accounting for hysterectomy prevalence when estimating state-level endometrial cancer incidence rates as hysterectomy prevalence varies by geographic region. Methods: We used the Cancer in North America Public Use Dataset produced by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries to identify incident endometrial cancer cases among women ≥20 years of age diagnosed from 2010 to 2019. We estimated state-specific hysterectomy-corrected, age-adjusted incidence rates overall and by histology. State-specific hysterectomy prevalence data were obtained from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. Results: Hysterectomy prevalence was highest in Southern and Midwestern states and lowest in the Northeast. Although uncorrected endometrial cancer incidence rates were highest in the Northeast, hysterectomy-corrected rates were highest in states within the Midwest and Appalachia. Geographic patterns of the hysterectomy-corrected incidence of endometrioid cancer resembled those of endometrial cancer overall. In contrast, corrected rates of non-endometrioid cancer were highest in the South and in certain states within the Northeast and Midwest. There was no overlap in the top 10 states with the highest rates of endometrioid and non-endometrioid cancers, respectively. Conclusions: State-specific, hysterectomy-corrected incidence rates of endometrial cancer vary by histology, suggesting potential differences in behavioral, sociodemographic, and/or environmental exposures at the state level. Impact: This study presents an accurate assessment of US endometrial cancer rates and emphasizes the importance of hysterectomy correction for geographic comparisons.

The Diverse Aspects of Uterine Serous Cancer: an NCI workshop on the status of and opportunities for advancement of research

Abstract The marked increase in the incidence and mortality associated with endometrial cancer over the past 2 decades is driven in part by rising rates of higher-grade, more aggressive endometrial cancers with variations in TP53, uterine serous cancers and their dedifferentiated component, uterine carcinosarcomas. Uterine serous cancer rates have been increasing among all racial and ethnic groups, with higher rates of this aggressive uterine cancer in Black women. The National Cancer Institute hosted a workshop in June 2023 to examine the diverse aspects of uterine serous cancers across epidemiology, biology, and molecular genetics and to advance knowledge from basic to preclinical and translational efforts. Key stakeholders, including basic scientists, clinical investigators, and patient advocates, came together to identify critical research gaps that, when addressed, would facilitate more comprehensive and rapid progress in understanding and ultimately treating uterine serous cancers across all patients. The National Cancer Institute released a supplemental funding opportunity (NOT-CA-24-044) in spring 2024 to facilitate rapid translation of these recommendations.

Risk prediction models for endometrial cancer: development and validation in an international consortium

Abstract Background Endometrial cancer risk stratification may help target interventions, screening, or prophylactic hysterectomy to mitigate the rising burden of this cancer. However, existing prediction models have been developed in select cohorts and have not considered genetic factors. Methods We developed endometrial cancer risk prediction models using data on postmenopausal White women aged 45-85 years from 19 case-control studies in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium (E2C2). Relative risk estimates for predictors were combined with age-specific endometrial cancer incidence rates and estimates for the underlying risk factor distribution. We externally validated the models in 3 cohorts: Nurses’ Health Study (NHS), NHS II, and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial. Results Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the epidemiologic model ranged from 0.64 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.62 to 0.67) to 0.69 (95% CI = 0.66 to 0.72). Improvements in discrimination from the addition of genetic factors were modest (no change in area under the receiver operating characteristic curves in NHS; PLCO = 0.64 to 0.66). The epidemiologic model was well calibrated in NHS II (overall expected-to-observed ratio [E/O] = 1.09, 95% CI = 0.98 to 1.22) and PLCO (overall E/O = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.95 to 1.13) but poorly calibrated in NHS (overall E/O = 0.55, 95% CI = 0.51 to 0.59). Conclusions Using data from the largest, most heterogeneous study population to date (to our knowledge), prediction models based on epidemiologic factors alone successfully identified women at high risk of endometrial cancer. Genetic factors offered limited improvements in discrimination. Further work is needed to refine this tool for clinical or public health practice and expand these models to multiethnic populations.

Toward a risk-based approach to evaluate and manage abnormal uterine bleeding

Associations of obesity with post-treatment risks of cervical precancer and cancer

Individuals with obesity have an increased risk of cervical cancer, in part related to challenges associated with cervical sampling and visualization that result in missed detection of cervical precancers. The influence of obesity on the effectiveness of excisional treatment of detected cervical precancers and posttreatment disease risk is unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate posttreatment risks of cervical precancer and cancer by body mass index (BMI). This retrospective cohort study included individuals aged 25 years and older undergoing excisional treatment for cervical precancer, either cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grade 2 or 3 or adenocarcinoma in situ as of January 2017 with follow-up through February 2023. Patients were excluded if they were missing BMI, had cancer upon excision or had hysterectomy in lieu of excision, or were missing a valid referral screening visit. We categorized BMI as follows: underweight/normal (<25 kg/m Among 10,614 patients, a total of 680 (6.4%) developed post-treatment CIN3+; most (91%) within 2 years of treatment. Two-year CIN3+ and cancer risks were highest in those with obesity (8.65%, 95% CI, 7.6%-9.9% and 0.79%, 95% CI, 0.5%-1.2%, respectively) and lowest in those with normal weight (5.57%, 95% CI, 4.9%-6.3% and 0.29%, 95% CI, 0.2%-0.5%, respectively). Hazard ratios measuring associations of BMI with risk of posttreatment CIN3+ ranged from 1.19 (95% CI, 1.0-1.4) among those with overweight to 1.89 (95% CI, 1.4-2.6) among those with class III obesity (P-trend<.0001). A similar trend was observed for cancer, from 1.62 (95% CI, 0.8-3.3) for overweight and 3.50 (95% CI, 1.3-9.3) for class III obesity (P-trend=.016). Patients with obesity undergoing excisional treatment for cervical precancer have a higher risk of residual or recurrent disease, likely due to incomplete excision.

Rationale and design of the Self-TI Study protocol: a cross-sectional human papillomavirus self-testing pilot study among transgender adults in England

Introduction Persistent infection with high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) is the causal agent of several cancers including cervical, anal and oropharyngeal cancer. Transgender men and transmasculine non-binary (TMNB) people with a cervix are much less likely to undergo cervical cancer screening than cisgender women. Transgender women and transfeminine non-binary (TWNB) people assigned male at birth may be at increased risk of HPV. Both TMNB and TWNB people face many barriers to HPV testing including medical mistrust due to stigma and discrimination. Methods and analysis The Self-TI Study (Self-TI) is a pilot study designed to measure acceptability and feasibility of HPV self-testing among transgender and non-binary people in England. TMNB people aged 25–65 years, with at least 1 year of testosterone, and TWNB people, aged 18 years and over, are eligible to participate. Participants self-collect up to four samples: an oral rinse, a first void urine sample, a vaginal swab (if applicable) and an anal swab. TMNB participants are asked to have an additional clinician-collected cervical swab taken following their routine Cervical Screening Programme sample. TWNB people are asked to take a self-collection kit to perform additional self-collection at home and mail the samples back to the clinic. Acceptability is assessed by a self-administered online survey and feasibility is measured as the proportion of samples returned in the clinic and from home. Ethics and dissemination Self-TI received ethical approval from the Research Ethics Committee of Wales 4 and ethical review panel within the Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics at the US National Cancer Institute. Self-TI was coproduced by members of the transgender and non-binary community, who served as authors, collaborators and members of the patient and public involvement (PPI) group. Results of this study will be shared with the community prior to being published in peer-reviewed journals and the PPI group will help to design the results dissemination strategy. The evidence generated from this pilot study could be used to inform a larger, international study of HPV self-testing in the transgender and non-binary community. Trial registration number NCT05883111 .

Identification of HPV genotypes causing cervical precancer using tissue‐based genotyping

Identification of high‐risk human papillomavirus genotypes causing cervical precancer is crucial for informing HPV vaccine development and efficacy studies, and for determining which types to include in next‐generation genotyping assays. Co‐occurrence of hrHPV infections is common and complicates carcinogenicity assessment; accurate attribution requires tissue‐based genotyping of precancers. We included all women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia Grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) from the Biopsy Study, an observational study of 690 women enrolled between 2009 and 2012 at the University of Oklahoma. Tissue‐based genotyping, including whole tissue sections (WTS) and laser‐capture microdissection (LCM), was performed on all precancers with multiple hrHPV infections detected in cytology, totaling over 1,800 HPV genotyping assays. Genotype attribution was compared to hierarchical and proportional hrHPV‐type attribution models. Of 276 women with CIN2+, 122 (44.2%) had multiple hrHPV genotypes in cytology. Of 114 women with genotyping data, 94 had one or more hrHPV detected in tissue. Seventy‐one women (75.5%) had a single causal hrHPV genotype, while 23 women had multiple hrHPV genotypes causing CIN2+. Ten women had multiple causal infections in a single biopsy, contrary to the previous notion that each lesion is caused by a single type only. While HPV16 was the predominant causal hrHPV genotype using all approaches, the hierarchical model overattributed HPV16, whereas other causal hrHPV genotypes, particularly HPV18 and HPV35, were underattributed. Understanding true causal genotypes is important for the evaluation of vaccine efficacy, to estimate the extent of unmasking, and for type‐specific risk assessment in screening and management.

Age‐specific prevalence of human papillomavirus and abnormal cytology at baseline in a diverse statewide prospective cohort of individuals undergoing cervical cancer screening in Mississippi

AbstractBackgroundMississippi (MS) has among the highest rates of cervical cancer incidence and mortality in the United States, with disproportionately higher rates among Blacks compared to Whites. Here, we evaluate the prevalence of high‐risk human papillomavirus (HPV) and abnormal cytology in a representative baseline sample from a diverse statewide cohort of individuals attending cervical screening in MS from the STRIDES Study (STudying Risk to Improve DisparitiES in cervical cancer).MethodsWe included individuals aged 21–65 years undergoing screening at the University of Mississippi Medical Center (UMMC) and the Mississippi State Department of Health (MSDH) from May to November 2018. We calculated age‐specific HPV prevalence, overall and by partial HPV16/18 genotyping, and abnormal cytology by race.ResultsA total of 6871 individuals (mean age 35.7 years) were included. HPV prevalence was 25.6% and higher in Blacks (28.0%) compared to Whites (22.4%). HPV prevalence was significantly higher in Blacks aged 21–24 years (50.2%) and 30–34 years (30.2%) compared to Whites in the same age groups (32.1% and 20.7%; p &lt; 0.0001, respectively). The prevalence of high‐grade cytologic abnormalities, a cytologic sign of cervical precancer, peaked earlier in Blacks (ages 25–29) compared to Whites (35–39). For comparison, we also analyzed HPV prevalence data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2013–2016) and observed similar racial differences in HPV prevalence among women aged 21–24 years.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that Blacks undergoing cervical cancer screening in MS have higher prevalence of other high‐risk 12 HPV types at younger ages and experience an earlier peak of high‐grade cytologic abnormalities compared to Whites.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Cervical Cancer Incidence, Survival, and Mortality by Histologic Subtype

PURPOSE We conducted an integrated population-based analysis of histologic subtype–specific cervical cancer incidence, survival, and incidence-based mortality by race and ethnicity, with correction for hysterectomy prevalence. METHODS Using the SEER 21 and 18 registries, we selected primary cases of malignant cervical cancer diagnosed among women ≥ 15 years. We evaluated age-adjusted incidence rates among cases diagnosed between 2000 and 2018 (SEER21) and incidence-based mortality rates among deaths from 2005 to 2018 (SEER18), per 100,000 person-years. Rates were stratified by histologic subtype and race/ethnicity (incidence and mortality), and stage, age at diagnosis, and county-level measures of social determinants of health (incidence only). Incidence and mortality rates were corrected for hysterectomy using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. We estimated 5-year relative survival by histologic subtype and stratified by stage at diagnosis. RESULTS Incidence rates of cervical squamous cell carcinoma were highest in Black and Hispanic women, while incidence rates of cervical adenocarcinoma (ADC) were highest among Hispanic and White women, particularly for localized ADC. County-level income and education variables were inversely associated with squamous cell carcinoma incidence rates in all racial and ethnic groups but had less influence on ADC incidence rates. Black women had the highest overall mortality rates and lowest 5-year relative survival, irrespective of subtype and stage. Disparities in survival were particularly pronounced for Black women with regional and distant ADC, compared with other racial/ethnic groups. CONCLUSION Although Black women are less likely to be diagnosed with ADC compared with all other racial/ethnic groups, they experience the highest mortality rates for this subtype, likely attributed to the poor survival observed for Black women with regional and distant ADC.

A novel human papillomavirus and host DNA methylation score and detection of cervical adenocarcinoma

Abstract Background The widespread introduction of Pap testing in the 1960s was followed by substantial reductions in the incidence of cervical squamous cell cancer (SCC). However, the incidence of cervical adenocarcinoma (ADC) did not decrease, likely because of low Pap test sensitivity for ADC and adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS). This study assessed a novel human papillomavirus (HPV) and host DNA Methylation Score for AIS and ADC screening. Methods We measured methylation levels at CpG sites in the L2/L1 open reading frames of HPV16, HPV18, and HPV45—as well as 2 human loci, DCC and HS3ST2. Specifically, we tested exfoliated cervicovaginal cells from women in the HPV Persistence and Progression (PaP) cohort who were positive for 1 of HPV16, 18, or 45, including: 1) 176 with AIS/ADC, 2) 353 with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia–3 (CIN3) or SCC, and 3) controls who either cleared (HPV-Clearers; n = 579) or had persistent HPV16, 18, or 45 infection (HPV-Persisters; n = 292). CpG site–specific methylation percentages were measured using our reported next-generation methods. The Methylation Score was the average methylation percentage across all 35 CpG sites tested. Results Each individual CpG site had higher methylation percentages in exfoliated cervicovaginal cells collected from patients with AIS/ADC, and as well as those with CIN3/SCC, relative to either control group (weakest P  = .004). The Methylation Score for AIS/ADC had a sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 89%. The multivariate odds ratio (OR) between the Methylation Score (4th vs 1st quartile) for AIS/ADC was ORq4-q1 = 49.01 (PBenjamini-Hochberg = 4.64E-12), using HPV-Clearers as controls. CIN3/SCC had similar, albeit weaker, associations with the Methylation Score. Conclusions HPV16/18/45-infected women with Methylation Scores in the highest quartile had very high odds of AIS/ADC, suggesting they may warrant careful histologic evaluation of the cervical transition zone (eg, conization or loop electrosurgical excision procedure [LEEP]).

Long-Term Prospective Cohort Study of Cervical Cancer Screening Using Triage of Women Who Are Human Papillomavirus–Positive With Dual Stain and Human Papillomavirus Genotyping

PURPOSE Primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing has the best tradeoff of benefits and harms for cervical screening but requires triage to determine management among HPV positives. We conducted a prospective observational study to evaluate triage of women who are HPV-positive using dual stain (DS) and HPV genotyping. MATERIALS AND METHODS We included 9,645 consecutive women who are HPV-positive undergoing cervical screening in two periods between 2015 and 2017 in the organized cervical screening program at Kaiser Permanente Northern California. Absolute risk and clinical performance of DS and cytology for detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 and greater (CIN3+) were estimated overall and by HPV genotype and by age. Cumulative absolute risk of CIN3+ was modeled over 5 years using a prevalence-incidence mixture model, which allows estimating risk accounting for differences in disease ascertainment, surveillance intervals, and compliance. RESULTS The baseline risk of CIN3+ was 9.4% and 0.8% for women testing positive and negative for DS, respectively, and 6.9% and 2.0% for women testing positive and negative for cytology, respectively. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values for CIN3+ detection were better for DS compared with cytology over 5 years ( P &lt; .001 for all comparisons). Risk in women with HPV16-positive/negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy was substantially higher than the risk in women with HPV16-positive/DS-negative (7.5% v 2.9%, P &lt; .001). DS had better triage performance compared with cytology in all age groups and in women positive for HPV types other than HPV16 or HPV18. CONCLUSION Long-term reassurance of low risk among DS negatives suggests that DS detects molecular changes earlier in the carcinogenic pathway than cytology. DS has better risk stratification than cytology overall, within HPV risk strata, and across all screening age groups and is a better option for triage of vaccinated populations.

Hypertension and Risk of Endometrial Cancer: A Pooled Analysis in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium (E2C2)

Abstract Background: The incidence rates of endometrial cancer are increasing, which may partly be explained by the rising prevalence of obesity, an established risk factor for endometrial cancer. Hypertension, another component of metabolic syndrome, is also increasing in prevalence, and emerging evidence suggests that it may be associated with the development of certain cancers. The role of hypertension independent of other components of metabolic syndrome in the etiology of endometrial cancer remains unclear. In this study, we evaluated hypertension as an independent risk factor for endometrial cancer and whether this association is modified by other established risk factors. Methods: We included 15,631 endometrial cancer cases and 42,239 controls matched on age, race, and study-specific factors from 29 studies in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium. We used multivariable unconditional logistic regression models to estimate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) to evaluate the association between hypertension and endometrial cancer and whether this association differed by study design, race/ethnicity, body mass index, diabetes status, smoking status, or reproductive factors. Results: Hypertension was associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.09–1.19). There was significant heterogeneity by study design (Phet &amp;lt; 0.01), with a stronger magnitude of association observed among case–control versus cohort studies. Stronger associations were also noted for pre-/perimenopausal women and never users of postmenopausal hormone therapy. Conclusions: Hypertension is associated with endometrial cancer risk independently from known risk factors. Future research should focus on biologic mechanisms underlying this association. Impact: This study provides evidence that hypertension may be an independent risk factor for endometrial cancer.