Kelsi R. Kroon

Clinically validated HPV assays offer comparable long‐term safety in primary cervical cancer screening: A 9‐year follow‐up of a population‐based screening cohort

AbstractMolecular testing for human papillomaviruses (HPV) is gradually replacing cytology in cervical cancer screening. In this longitudinal population‐based cohort study, 4140 women 20 to 64 years old attending organized screening were tested at baseline by five different screening methods and followed for 9 years. To assess long‐term safety, the cumulative risks of CIN2+/CIN3+ were estimated after a negative baseline result obtained by conventional cytology and four clinically validated HPV assays: Hybrid Capture 2 (hc2), RealTime High Risk HPV assay (RealTime), cobas 4800 HPV Test (cobas_4800), and Alinity m HR HPV (Alinity). HPV‐negative women at baseline had a substantially lower risk for CIN2+ compared to those with normal baseline cytology: 0.84% (95% CI, 0.46–1.22), 0.90% (95% CI, 0.51–1.29), 0.78% (95% CI, 0.42–1.15), and 0.75% (95% CI, 0.39–1.11) for hc2, RealTime, cobas_4800, and Alinity, respectively, compared to 2.46% (95% CI, 1.88–3.03) for cytology. No differences were observed between HPV assays in longitudinal sensitivity (range: 86.21%–90.36%) and negative predictive values (range: 99.54%–99.70%) for CIN2+ in women ≥30 years, but were significantly different from cytology (p < .05). The 9‐year cumulative risk of CIN2+ differed significantly between HPV genotypes, reaching 32.1% (95% CI, 14.5–46.1) for HPV16, 24.9% (95% CI, 4.7–40.8) for HPV18/45, 27.2% (95% CI, 14.6–37.8) for HPV31/33/35/52/58, and 8.1% (95% CI, 0.0–16.7) for HPV39/51/56/59. Four clinically validated HPV assays showed comparable safety and better assurance against precancerous lesions than cytology, but some important differences were identified in the performance characteristics of HPV assays impacting the referral rate. Information about the HPV genotype is valuable for guiding further clinical action in HPV‐based screening programs.

Colposcopy referrals and CIN3 detection after triage by host cell DNA methylation and/or HPV genotyping in HPV positive women with low‐grade cytology from a population‐based Dutch primary HPV screening trial

AbstractHigh‐risk HPV (hrHPV)‐based screening has led to many unnecessary colposcopy referrals, mainly because of direct referral after low‐grade cytology (ASC‐US/LSIL). DNA methylation and genotyping tests on ASC‐US/LSIL samples have the potential to significantly improve the efficiency of screening. In this study, 12 triage strategies were constructed from FAM19A4/miR124‐2 or ASCL1/LHX8 methylation, HPV16/18 or HPV16/18/31/33/45 genotyping and 1‐year repeat cytology. The performance was evaluated on 215 hrHPV‐positive ASC‐US/LSIL samples from the IMPROVE trial (NTR5078). Performance was measured by colposcopy referral rate, positive predictive value (PPV) for detecting precancer (CIN3), and negative predictive value (NPV). To evaluate efficiency, strategies were ordered by the cumulative colposcopy referral rate after 1‐year cytology and compared by the marginal PPV to detect one additional CIN3 (mPPV). The most conservative strategy (referral when HPV16/18 and FAM19A4/miR124 methylation results are positive) had a direct referral rate of 5.2%, a cumulative referral rate after 1‐year cytology of 54.1%, and mPPV of 19.3%. Replacing HPV16/18 by HPV16/18/31/33/45 increased the cumulative 1‐year referral rate to 54.6%, and yielded an mPPV of 10.0%. Similar results were obtained for strategies with ASCL1/LHX8 methylation. Of all strategies, referral after an HPV16/18/31/33/45 positive, ASCL1/LHX8 methylation‐positive, and/or 1‐year cytology‐positive result yielded the highest direct and cumulative 1‐year colposcopy referral rates of 64.4% and 79.1%, respectively. The NPVs after 1‐year cytology varied between 98.1% and 99.4%, warranting a return to routine screening. Altogether, DNA methylation‐based triage strategies are recommended as they are discriminative for CIN3 and control the number of immediate colposcopy referrals.

Colposcopy Referral and CIN3+ Risk of Human Papillomavirus Genotyping Strategies in Cervical Cancer Screening

Abstract Background: High-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV)-based cervical cancer screening in the Netherlands led to a substantial increase in number of colposcopy referrals and low-grade lesions detected. Genotyping strategies may be employed to lower the screening-related burden. Methods: We evaluated 14 triage strategies with genotyping (HPV16/18 or HPV16/18/31/33/45/52/58) for hrHPV-positive borderlineormilddyskaryosis (BMD)ornormal cytology,usingdata from a population-based hrHPV-based screening trial with 5-year interval (POBASCAM). We considered colposcopy referral at baseline, after 6-month repeat cytology and after 5-year hrHPV testing. Performance was evaluated by one-round positive and negative predictive value (PPVandNPV) for CIN3+ and by two-roundcolposcopy referral rate. To identify efficient strategies, they were ordered by the one-round colposcopy referral rate. Adjacent strategies were compared by the marginal PPV for detecting one additional CIN3+ (mPPV). Results: The most conservative strategy (repeat cytology after BMD and HPV16/18/31/33/45/52/58-positive normal cytology, next round otherwise) yielded an mPPV of 28%, NPV of 98.2%, and two-round colposcopy referral rate of 47.2%. Adding direct referral after BMD or genotype-positive BMD yielded an mPPV ≤ 8.2%, NPV ≥ 98.5% and an increase in colposcopy referral rate of 1.9% to 6.5%. Adding direct referral after HPV16/18-positive normal cytology yielded an mPPV ≤ 3.5%, NPV ≥ 99.5% and an increase in colposcopy referral rate of 13.9%. Conclusions: Direct colposcopy referral of women with BMD or normal cytology is unlikely to be efficient, but genotype-guided direct referral after BMD may be considered because the increase in colposcopies is limited. Impact: hrHPV screening programs can become very efficient when immediate colposcopy referral is limited to women at highest CIN3+ risk. See related In the Spotlight, p. 979