Kathrine Dyhr Lycke

Time trends in the clinical management of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: A Danish register‐based study

AbstractIntroductionActive surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2) has been implemented recently in many countries, including the Nordic countries. In Denmark, the only eligibility criterion for active surveillance for CIN2 is that the woman should be of reproductive age. With this study, we aimed to evaluate clinical and socioeconomic characteristics in women with CIN2 managed by active surveillance or large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ) and to evaluate temporal changes in the clinical management of CIN2.Material and MethodsWe conducted a Danish nationwide study using data from healthcare registries. All female residents aged 18–40 years, diagnosed with incident CIN2 from January 1, 1998, to February 29, 2020, were included. We collected data on age, index cytology result, year of CIN2 diagnosis, region of residence, civil status, HPV vaccination status, and socioeconomic position indicators. The variables were tabulated overall and by management group (active surveillance vs. LLETZ). To evaluate time trends, we used joinpoint regression to calculate the annual percentage change (APC), including 95% confidence intervals (CI).ResultsOf the 27 536 women with CIN2 included, 12 500 (45.4%) underwent active surveillance, and 15 036 (54.6%) underwent a LLETZ. Women undergoing active surveillance were younger, more often HPV‐vaccinated, and more likely to have a normal/low‐grade index cytology result than women undergoing LLETZ. Socioeconomic position indicators did not differ. Over time, the proportion of women undergoing active surveillance increased from 21.7% in 2004 to 73.6% in 2019 (APC 9.7, 95% CI 8.1–11.4). The proportion of women undergoing active surveillance aged <30 declined over time (APC −2.2, 95% CI −2.9 to −1.5). The proportion of women with normal/low‐grade index cytology increased slightly to 51.6% in 2019 (APC 0.8, 95% CI 0.4–1.3).ConclusionsThe use of active surveillance for CIN2 has increased over the past two decades in Denmark. Observed differences in characteristics between women undergoing active surveillance vs LLETZ are likely related to indications for clinical management.

Untreated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 and subsequent risk of cervical cancer: population based cohort study

Abstract Objective To describe the long term risk of cervical cancer in women with untreated (that is, undergoing active surveillance) or immediately treated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2). Design Nationwide population based historical cohort study. Setting Danish healthcare registries. Participants Women with CIN2 diagnosed in 1998-2020 and aged 18-40 years at diagnosis, who had either active surveillance or immediate treatment with large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ). Women with a previous record of CIN2 or worse or LLETZ were excluded. Main outcome measure A Weibull survival model for interval censored time-to-event data was used to estimate the cumulative risk of cervical cancer. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to adjust estimates for age, index cytology, calendar year, and region of residence. Results The cohort included 27 524 women with CIN2, of whom 12 483 (45%) had active surveillance and 15 041 (55%) had immediate LLETZ. During follow-up, 104 cases of cervical cancer were identified—56 (54%) in the active surveillance group and 48 (46%) in the LLETZ group. The cumulative risk of cervical cancer was comparable across the two groups during the active surveillance period of two years. Thereafter, the risk increased in the active surveillance group, reaching 2.65% (95% confidence interval 2.07% to 3.23%) after 20 years, whereas it remained stable in the LLETZ group at 0.76% (0.58% to 0.95%). Conclusions Undergoing active surveillance for CIN2, thereby leaving the lesion untreated, was associated with increased long term risk of cervical cancer compared with immediate LLETZ. These findings show the importance of continued follow-up of women having active surveillance.

Clinical course of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2: a population-based cohort study

Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 has historically been the threshold for surgical excision, but because of high regression rates, many countries are transitioning to active surveillance. However, estimates for regression rates are based on small studies with heterogeneous definitions of regression and progression. This study aimed to describe regression and progression rates of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 using nationwide healthcare registry data. This was a nationwide population-based cohort study on women aged 18 to 40 years who had undergone active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 in Denmark from 1998 to 2020. This study excluded women with a previous record of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse or surgical excision. Cumulative incidence functions were used to estimate the rates of regression and progression at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months after diagnosis. In addition, a modified Poisson regression was used to estimate the crude and adjusted relative risks of progression within 24 months stratified by index cytology and age. During the study period, 11,056 women underwent active surveillance, 6767 of whom regressed and 3580 of whom progressed within 24 months. This corresponded to regression rates of 62.9% (95% confidence interval, 61.9-63.8) and progression rates of 33.3% (95% confidence interval, 32.4-34.2) at 24 months of follow-up. Most women regressed (90%) or progressed (90%) within the first 12 months. Women with high-grade index cytology had a higher risk of progression than women with normal index cytology (adjusted relative, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.43-1.76), whereas there was no difference in the risk of progression between women aged 30 and 40 years and women aged 23 to 29 years (adjusted relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.10). The observed high regression rates of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 supported the transition in clinical management from surgical excision to active surveillance, particularly among women with low-grade or normal index cytology.

High prevalence of HPV16 and high‐grade cytology in women undergoing active surveillance for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2

AbstractIntroductionMany countries have adopted active surveillance in women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2), leaving the lesion untreated. However, there is a lack of consensus on the eligibility criteria for active surveillance across countries, with some abstaining from active surveillance in women with human papilloma virus 16 (HPV16) or a high‐grade cytology. Here, we aimed to describe the distribution of HPV genotypes, age, and cytology in women undergoing active surveillance for CIN2.Material and methodsWe conducted a single‐center cross‐sectional study on women aged 23–40 undergoing active surveillance for CIN2 during 2000–2010. Women were identified through the Danish Pathology Data Bank (DPDB) at Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark. We collected information on basic characteristics and results of histopathological examinations via DPDB. Women were deemed eligible for inclusion if they had a subsequent biopsy after index CIN2, and had no prior record of CIN2+, hysterectomy, or cone biopsy. Archived biopsies underwent HPV genotyping using the HPV SPF10‐ DEIA‐LiPA25 system, and the diagnosis was re‐evaluated by three expert pathologists. We used the Chi squared‐test (p‐value) for comparison across groups.ResultsWe identified 3623 women with CIN2 of whom 455 (12.6%) were included. Most women were 30 years or younger (73.8%), and half (48.8%) had a high‐grade index cytology. The prevalence of any high‐risk HPV was 87.0%, with HPV16 being the most prevalent genotype (35.6%). The prevalence of HPV16 was significantly higher in women aged 30 or younger (39.3%) compared to women older than 30 years (25.2%) (p = 0.006). Upon expert review, 261 (57.4%) had CIN2 confirmed, whereas 56 (12.3%) were upgraded to CIN3 and 121 (26.6%) were downgraded to CIN1/normal. While the HPV16 prevalence was similar between community and expert confirmed CIN2, the prevalence of HPV16 was significantly higher in women with expert CIN3 compared to women with expert CIN1/normal (64.3% vs. 19.0%, p = 0.001).ConclusionsThe high prevalence of HPV16 and high‐grade cytology imply that these women may be perceived as a high‐risk population and non‐eligible for active surveillance in countries outside Denmark. Future studies should investigate the importance of HPV, age, cytology, and expert review on risk of progression to help refine criteria for active surveillance.