Joakim Dillner

The WID‐EC test for the detection and risk prediction of endometrial cancer

AbstractThe incidence of endometrial cancer is rising. Measures to identify women at risk and to detect endometrial cancer earlier are required to reduce the morbidity triggered by the aggressive treatment required for advanced endometrial cancer. We developed the WID‐EC (Women's cancer risk IDentification‐Endometrial Cancer) test, which is based on DNA methylation at 500 CpG sites, in a discovery set of cervical liquid‐based cytology samples from 1086 women with and without an endometrial cancer (217 cancer cases and 869 healthy controls) with a worse prognosis (grade 3 or ≥stage IB). We validated the WID‐EC test in an independent external validation set of 64 endometrial cancer cases and 225 controls. We further validated the test in 150 healthy women (prospective set) who provided a cervical sample as part of the routine Swedish cervical screening programme, 54 of whom developed endometrial cancer within 3 years of sample collection. The WID‐EC test identified women with endometrial cancer with a receiver operator characteristic area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 (95% CI: 0.88‐0.97) in the external set and of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.74‐0.89) in the prospective validation set. Using an optimal cutoff, cancer cases were detected with a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 90% in the external validation set, and a sensitivity and specificity of 52% and 98% respectively in the prospective validation set. The WID‐EC test can identify women with or at risk of endometrial cancer.

A Simple Cervicovaginal Epigenetic Test for Screening and Rapid Triage of Women With Suspected Endometrial Cancer: Validation in Several Cohort and Case/Control Sets

PURPOSE Endometrial cancer (EC) incidence has been rising over the past 10 years. Delays in diagnosis reduce survival and necessitate more aggressive treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a simple, noninvasive, and reliable triage test for EC to reduce the number of invasive diagnostic procedures and improve patient survival. METHODS We developed a test to screen and triage women with suspected EC using 726 cervical smear samples from women with and without EC, and validated the test in 562 cervicovaginal samples using three different collection methods (cervical smear: n = 248; vaginal swab: n = 63; and self-collection: n = 251) and four different settings (case/control: n = 388; cohort of women presenting with postmenopausal bleeding: n = 63; a cohort of high-risk women with Lynch syndrome: n = 25; and a nested case/control setting from a screening cohort and samples taken up to 3 years before EC diagnosis: n = 86). RESULTS We describe the Women's cancer risk IDentification – quantitative polymerase chain reaction test for Endometrial Cancer (WID-qEC), a three-marker test that evaluates DNA methylation in gene regions of GYPC and ZSCAN12. In cervical, self-collected, and vaginal swab samples derived from symptomatic patients, it detected EC with sensitivities of 97.2% (95% CI, 90.2 to 99.7), 90.1% (83.6 to 94.6), and 100% (63.1 to 100), respectively, and specificities of 75.8% (63.6 to 85.5), 86.7% (79.3 to 92.2), and 89.1% (77.8 to 95.9), respectively. The WID-qEC identified 90.9% (95% CI, 70.8 to 98.9) of EC cases in samples predating diagnosis up to 1 year. Test performance was similar across menopausal status, age, stage, grade, ethnicity, and histology. CONCLUSION The WID-qEC is a noninvasive reliable test for triage of women with symptoms suggestive of ECs. Because of the potential for self-collection, it could improve early diagnosis and reduce the reliance for in-person visits.

Controlled trial of cervical cancer screening frequency among human‐papillomavirus‐vaccinated women

Abstract Cervical screening frequency has not been studied in vaccinees. As the major risk factor, oncogenic human papillomavirus (HPV) is declining due to vaccination. We report a trial to assess the effectiveness of cervical screening frequency among women HPV‐vaccinated as early adolescents (NCT02149030). In 2013, 5626 1992‐1995‐born women, who had received three doses of the HPV16/18 vaccine at ages 12–15 between 2007 and 2010 in a community‐randomized vaccination trial (NCT00534638), were allocated at age 22 into high‐intensity cytology‐based cervical screening by even birth date (Arm A1) or into low‐intensity cytology‐based cervical screening by odd birth date (Arm A2). One thousand three hundred thirty‐three women who received HPV16/18 vaccination at age 18 attended a safety of low intensity‐screening arm (Arm A3). Low‐intensity screening, where low‐grade cytological abnormalities were not revealed for 6 years, was compared to the standard high‐intensity screening used in Finland at the time. The prevalence of cytological and HPV findings was calculated at ages 22/25/28. The hazard ratio of histopathologically confirmed immediate cervical cancer precursors (HSIL/CIN2+) among participants was compared between low‐ and high‐intensity screening arms. The overall occurrence of CIN2+ was comparable in Arms A1, 0.70% and A2, 0.66%, with the corresponding hazard ratio at age 28 being 0.97 (95% confidence intervals, 0.50–1.88). By age 28, the occurrence of vaccine‐HPV types 16/18 was reduced up to 88% in the 12‐to‐15 compared to 18‐year‐old HPV‐vaccinated women. In conclusion, the risk of CIN2+ was similar for HPV‐vaccinated women who attended low‐intensity cervical screening compared to high‐intensity screening most likely due to the decline of oncogenic HPVs.

Long‐term human papillomavirus genotype‐specific risk of cervical high‐grade intraepithelial lesion and cancer—By age group and triage cytology

Abstract Human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes possess different cervical high‐grade intraepithelial lesion and cancer (CIN2+) risks. HPV genotyping is a promising method to increase the specificity of primary HPV screening, but the optimal management of the infections with different genotypes has not been established. We aimed to assess long‐term HPV genotype‐specific CIN2+ risks, stratified by age and triage cytology result in a population‐based cervical cancer screening program. This is a prospective study of 5253 HPV‐positive individuals from the Finnish randomized HPV screening trial, with up to 18 years of follow‐up. HPV‐positive samples were genotyped using Luminex and BD Onclarity assays. The genotyping data were linked to data from four different nationwide health registries. The primary outcome was HPV genotype‐specific cumulative incidence of CIN2+. The CIN2+ cumulative incidence was the highest for HPV16 (38.1%), followed by HPV33/58 (25.4%) and HPV31 (22.2%). The lowest incidences were observed for HPV56/59/66 (4.4%), HPV35/39/68 (6.5%), and HPV51 (7.5%). Individuals aged 50 or older at the entry test had lower cumulative incidences for the highest‐risk genotypes. The cytology stratification showed that for the infections with the highest risks, normal cytology triage did not guarantee a low CIN2+ risk. On the other hand, HPV51 and HPV56/59/66 had a low risk even with an abnormal cytology result. The findings suggest that individuals with HPV16, HPV33/58, and HPV31 infections could be referred immediately to colposcopy. Sending individuals with low‐risk genotypes, HPV35/39/68, HPV51, or HPV56/59/66 infections with normal cytology back to routine screening could increase screening specificity.

Predicting optimal impact interventions in the post‐ HPV vaccination world

Abstract Prophylactic vaccination is a powerful tool that changes exposure to infections and associated morbidity of preventable diseases. We discuss the impact of pneumococci and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination on the population biology of the two micro‐organisms and related public health effects. Data on HPV type‐replacement in communities where vaccine‐covered HPVs are almost eliminated, and interactions of the remaining HPV types on the risk of cervical cancer are reviewed. Results of comprehensive models for European country‐specific conduction of cervical screening among HPV‐vaccinated and unvaccinated women, assuming different HPV‐vaccination coverage and strategies, are discussed in our policy‐oriented review. An acceptable balance of benefits and harms of cervical cancer screening in HPV vaccinated populations requires an understanding of cancer risks in differently vaccinated birth cohorts. Finally, the challenges are complex but can be met if strategies are applied that (i) as fast as possible achieve herd effect and (ii) use a risk‐based design of HPV screening.

Cancer detection using human papillomavirus self‐sampling targeting long‐term non‐attenders in an organized cervical screening program

Abstract Self‐sampling for human papillomavirus (HPV) is an established strategy to increase participation in cervical screening. We previously reported a randomized trial targeting women who had not attended screening after >10 invitations, where sending of self‐sampling kits resulted in a 19% attendance and a positive predictive value (PPV) for high grade lesions (HSIL+) of 40%, despite no triaging after the HPV test. Because of the striking results, the intervention was extended to all women resident in Stockholm County, Sweden, in the years 2019/20, who had not attended screening >10 years ( N  = 42,409). Participation was 35.6% and 11.6% of the participating women were HPV‐positive. Among these, there were 43 cases of invasive cervical cancer and 319 cases of high‐grade lesions. The PPV was particularly high for HPV16/18 positive women (12% for invasive cancer and 59% for HSIL). In summary, participation with HPV self‐sampling among long‐term non‐attenders in the real‐life program was considerably higher than in the research setting and the high yield of HSIL+ implied high effectiveness.

The Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Laboratory e-Manual: A comprehensive guide for HPV testing and research

Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and HPV-based cervical cancer screening are central pillars of the World Health Organization (WHO) global cervical cancer elimination strategy. The WHO HPV Laboratory Manual, published in 2009, has provided essential guidance to promote an internationally comparable quality of HPV testing for many years. As the development in this area is rapid, the Global Network of National HPV Reference Laboratories considered that there is a need for an updated HPV Laboratory e-Manual to serve as a comprehensive and interactive resource for professionals engaged in quality-assured HPV testing for research and/or HPV-based cancer control. The HPV Laboratory e-Manual covers key areas, including laboratory quality assurance, HPV taxonomy and risk association, collection and handling of specimens, nucleic acid extraction, HPV detection and typing, HPV serology, data management, and the use of international standards. It provides up-to-date protocols and best practices to enhance accuracy and reliability of HPV testing. Interactive features allow for real-time updates, making it a dynamic resource for laboratories worldwide. The e-Manual is freely available at: https://www.hpvcenter.se/hpv-laboratory-manual/. The e-Manual has been developed by international experts from 11 countries, including contributors from the International HPV Reference Center (IHRC, Sweden), the CDC's Global HPV Reference Laboratory (USA), and multiple National HPV Reference Laboratories (NRLs). The standard procedure for writing a chapter was that 2 NRLs authored the chapter and 1 other NRL reviewed it. The HPV Laboratory e-Manual represents a step toward global harmonization in laboratory methodologies for HPV testing, underpinning both research and cervical cancer control efforts.

Population-Based Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Declining Human Papillomavirus Prevalence

Abstract Background Most countries in the world have launched human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programs, and declining HPV prevalences are reported. We aimed to disentangle the influences of calendar time, birth cohort, and age by analyzing HPV prevalences in the population-based cervical screening program using age-period-cohort modeling. Methods All 813 882 primary HPV-based cervical screening tests from women aged 23–64 years between 2014 and 2023 in the capital region of Sweden were identified in the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry. The odds ratio (OR) of HPV-16/18 infection was estimated comparing birth cohorts to the unvaccinated 1984-born using an age-period-cohort model. The impact of changing HPV prevalences on the number needed to screen (NNS) to detect and prevent 1 cervical cancer case was calculated. Results HPV vaccination coverage was 82%–83% among women born in 1999–2000. Before 2019, the HPV-16/18 prevalence was highest among the youngest women. During 2020–2023 the prevalence consistently decreased among the birth cohorts offered organized school-based vaccination. There was a 98% decline in HPV-16 prevalence (OR, 0.02 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .01–.04]) and a 99% decline in HPV-18 prevalence (OR, 0.01 [95% CI, .00–.04]) among the 2000-born compared to the 1984-born. The declining HPV-16/18 prevalences resulted in major increases in the NNS to detect and to prevent 1 case of cervical cancer. Conclusions The declines of HPV-16/18 were considerably larger than the vaccination coverage, suggesting herd immunity. The changing epidemiology of HPV types impacts screening needs, necessitating updated screening programs.

Evaluation of primary HPV-based cervical screening among older women: Long-term follow-up of a randomized healthcare policy trial in Sweden

Background Evidence on invasive cervical cancer prevention among older women is limited, especially with the introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV)-based screening and longer interval. We conducted a long-term follow-up of the first phase of a randomized healthcare policy trial in cervical screening, targeting women aged 56 to 61 years old, to investigate the effectiveness of primary HPV-based screening in preventing invasive cervical cancer (ICC) and the safety of extending screening interval. Methods and findings The randomized healthcare policy trial of primary HPV-based cervical screening targeted women residing in Stockholm-Gotland region during 2012 to 2016, aged 30 to 64 years. The trial aimed to investigate the detection rate of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) within 24 months and long-term protection against invasive cervical cancer, comparing primary HPV-based screening to primary cytology-based screening. The initial phase of the trial, which was the focus of this study, targeted women aged 56 to 61 years old in 2012 to 2014 who were randomized to primary cytology arm (n = 7,401) or primary HPV arm (n = 7,318). We used national registries to identify the subsequent cervical tests and all histopathological diagnoses including ICC before December 31, 2022. We calculated cumulative incidence, incidence rate (IR) and IR ratio (IRR) of ICC, by baseline test result. Furthermore, we calculated longitudinal sensitivity and specificity for detecting cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) by receipt of primary cytology or primary HPV test for the recommended screening intervals in this age group. We found that the IR of ICC among women in the primary HPV arm was 7.2/100,000 person-years (py) and 3.0 for women who tested HPV negative, compared to 18.4/100,000 py among women in the primary cytology arm and 18.8 for women who tested cytology negative. We further found that the overall point estimate for the risk of ICC over 10 years of follow-up among women in the primary HPV arm was 0.39 compared to women in the primary cytology arm, but this was not statistically significant (IRR: 0.39; 95% confidence interval, CI [0.14, 1.09]; p = 0.0726). However, among women with a negative test result at baseline, women in the primary HPV arm had an 84% lower risk of ICC compared to women in the primary cytology arm (IRR: 0.16; 95% CI [0.04, 0.72]; p = 0.0163). Moreover, primary HPV testing had a higher sensitivity for detecting CIN2+ within a 7-year interval than primary cytology testing within a 5-year interval (89.6% versus 50.9%, p < 0.0001). We were limited by a partial imbalance of invitations during the follow-up between the 2 arms which may have led to an underestimation of the effectiveness of primary HPV-based screening. Conclusions In this study, we observed that women over 55 years of age who received a primary negative HPV test result had substantially lower risk of CIN2+, and ICC, compared to women who received a primary negative cytology result. This should apply even if the screening interval were prolonged to 7 years. Trial Registration NCT01511328.

Criteria for second generation comparator tests in validation of novel HPV DNA tests for use in cervical cancer screening

Abstract While HC2 and GP5+/6+ PCR‐EIA were pivotal in test validation of new HPV assays, they represent the first generation of comparator tests based upon technologies that are not in widespread use anymore. In the current guideline, criteria for second‐generation comparator tests are presented that include more detailed resolution of HPV genotypes. Second‐generation comparator tests should preferentially target only the 12 genotypes classified as carcinogenic (IARC‐group I), and show consistent non‐inferior sensitivity for CIN2+ and CIN3+ and specificity for ≤CIN1 compared to one of the first‐generations comparators, in at least three validation studies using benchmarks of 0.95 for relative sensitivity and 0.98 for relative specificity. Validation should take into account used storage media and other sample handling procedures. Meta‐analyses were conducted to identify the assays that fulfill these stringent criteria. Four tests fulfilled the new criteria: (1) RealTime High‐Risk HPV Test (Abbott), (2) Cobas‐4800 HPV test (Roche Molecular System), (3) Onclarity HPV Assay (BD Diagnostics), and (4) Anyplex II HPV HR Detection (Seegene), each evaluated in three to six studies. Whereas the four assays target 14 carcinogenic genotypes, the first two identify separately HPV16 and 18, the third assay identifies five types separately and the fourth identifies all the types separately.

Nationwide registry‐based trial of risk‐stratified cervical screening

AbstractIn well‐screened populations, most cervical cancers arise from small groups of women with inadequate screening. The present study aims to assess whether registry‐based cancer risk assessment could be used to increase screening intensity among high‐risk women. The National Cervical Screening Registry identified the 28,689 women residents in Sweden who had either no previous cervical screening or a screening history indicating high risk. We invited these women by SMS and/or physical letter to order a free human papillomavirus (HPV) self‐sampling kit. The Swedish national HPV reference laboratory performed extended HPV genotyping and referred high‐risk HPV‐positive women to their regional gynecologist. A total of 3691/28,689 (12.9%) women ordered a self‐sampling kit and 10.0% (2853/28,689) returned a sample for testing. Participation among women who had never attended screening was low, albeit improved. Up to 22.5% of women in other high‐risk groups attended. High‐risk HPV types were detected in 8.3% of samples. High‐risk HPV‐positive women (238/2853) were referred without further triaging and severe cervical precancer or cancer (HSIL+) in histopathology were detected in 36/158 (23%) of biopsied women. Repeat invitations gave modest additional participation. Nationwide contacting of women with high risk for cervical cancer with personal invitations to order HPV self‐sampling kits resulted in high yield of detected CIN2+. Further efforts to improve risk‐stratified screening strategies should be directed to improving (i) the precision of the risk‐stratification algorithm, (ii) the convenience for the women to participate and, (iii) ensuring that screen‐positive women are followed‐up.

The Swedish Cervical Screening Cohort

AbstractThe Cervical Screening Cohort enrols women screened for human papillomavirus (HPV) and cervical abnormalities within the capital region of Sweden from the organised screening program and the non-organised testing of cervical samples. The cohort started in 2011 and has enrolled more than 670,000 women, contributing with more than 1.2 million biobanked samples. The cohort is systematically updated with individual-level data from the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). Key variables include birthdate, sampling date, cytological, histopathological and HPV analysis results, and invitation history. Each sampling and subsequent clinical follow-up is sequentially registered, allowing for longitudinal analyses of screening results and associated results of the clinical workup. The cohort is ideal for longitudinal, long-term follow-up studies due to its validated documentation and registry-derived information. From the data, it is possible to penetrate important human health mechanisms. The data are available as open-data and GDPR-compliant. Samples are available after getting the required permissions. Results will help researchers understand factors that increase cancer risk and other diseases.

Cervical cancer screening using DNA methylation triage in a real-world population

AbstractCervical cancer (CC) screening in women comprises human papillomavirus (HPV) testing followed by cytology triage of positive cases. Drawbacks, including cytology’s low reproducibility and requirement for short screening intervals, raise the need for alternative triage methods. Here we used an innovative triage technique, the WID-qCIN test, to assess the DNA methylation of human genes DPP6, RALYL and GSX1 in a real-life cohort of 28,017 women aged ≥30 years who attended CC screening in Stockholm between January and March 2017. In the analysis of all 2,377 HPV-positive samples, a combination of WID-qCIN (with a predefined threshold) and HPV16 and/or HPV18 (HPV16/18) detected 93.4% of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 and 100% of invasive CCs. The WID-qCIN/HPV16/18 combination predicted 69.4% of incident cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse compared with 18.2% predicted by cytology. Cytology or WID-qCIN/HPV16/18 triage would require 4.1 and 2.4 colposcopy referrals to detect one cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse, respectively, during the 6 year period. These findings support the use of WID-qCIN/HPV16/18 as an improved triage strategy for HPV-positive women.

Low methylation marker levels among human papillomavirus‐vaccinated women with cervical high‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesions

AbstractCervical cancer screening programs, including triage tests, need redesigning as human papillomavirus (HPV)‐vaccinated women are entering the programs. Methylation markers offer a potential solution to reduce false‐positive rates by identifying clinically relevant cervical lesions with progressive potential. In a nested case–control study, 9242 women who received the three‐dose HPV16/18‐vaccine at ages 12–15 or 18 in a community‐randomized trial were included. Subsequently, they were re‐randomized for either frequent or infrequent cervical cancer screening trials. Over a 15‐year post‐vaccination follow‐up until 2022, 17 high‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) and 15 low‐grade (LSIL) cases were identified at the 25‐year screening round, alongside 371 age and community‐matched HPV16/18‐vaccinated controls. Methylation analyses were performed on cervical samples collected at age 25, preceding histologically confirmed LSIL or HSIL diagnoses. DNA methylation of viral (HPV16/18/31/33) and host‐cell genes (EPB41L3, FAM19A4, and miR124‐2) was measured, along with HPV‐genotyping. No HPV16/18 HSIL cases were observed. The predominant HPV‐genotypes were HPV52 (29.4%), HPV59/HPV51/HPV58 (each 23.5%), and HPV33 (17.7%). Methylation levels were generally low, with no significant differences in mean methylation levels of viral or host‐cell genes between the LSIL/HSIL and controls. However, a significant difference in methylation levels was found between HSIL cases and controls when considering a combination of viral genes and EPB41L3 (p value = .0001). HPV‐vaccinated women with HSIL had HPV infections with uncommon HPV types that very rarely cause cancer and displayed low methylation levels. Further investigation is warranted to understand the likely regressive nature of HSIL among HPV‐vaccinated women and its implications for management.

Concomitant human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and screening for elimination of HPV and cervical cancer

Abstract HPV vaccination with concomitant HPV-based screening of young women has been proposed for faster cervical cancer elimination. We describe the baseline results of a population-based trial of this strategy to reduce the incidence of HPV. All 89,547 women born 1994-1999 and resident in the capital region of Sweden were personally invited to concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening with 26,125 women (29.2%) enrolled between 2021-05-03 and 2022-12-31. Baseline HPV genotyping of cervical samples from the study participants finds, compared to pre-vaccination prevalences, a strong decline of HPV16 and 18 in birth cohorts previously offered vaccination, some decline for cross-protected HPV types but no decline for HPV types not targeted by vaccines. Our dynamic transmission modelling predicts that the trial could reduce the incidence of high-risk HPV infections among the 1994-1998 cohorts by 62-64% in 3 years. Baseline results are prevalences of HPV infection, validated transmission model projections, and power estimates for evaluating HPV incidence reductions at follow-up (+/−0.1% with 99.9% confidence). In conclusion, concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening appears to be a realistic option for faster cervical cancer elimination. Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT04910802; EudraCT number: 2020-001169-34.

Human papillomavirus negative high grade cervical lesions and cancers: Suggested guidance for HPV testing quality assurance

Some high-grade cervical lesions and cervical cancers (HSIL+) test negative for human papillomavirus (HPV). The HPV-negative fraction varies between 0.03 % and 15 % between different laboratories. Monitoring and extended re-analysis of HPV-negative HSIL+ could thus be helpful to monitor performance of HPV testing services. We aimed to a) provide a real-life example of a quality assurance (QA) program based on re-analysis of HPV-negative HSIL+ and b) develop international guidance for QA of HPV testing services based on standardized identification of apparently HPV-negative HSIL+ and extended re-analysis, either by the primary laboratory or by a national HPV reference laboratory (NRL). There were 116 initially HPV-negative cervical specimens (31 histopathology specimens and 85 liquid-based cytology samples) sent to the Swedish HPV Reference Laboratory for re-testing. Based on the results, an international QA guidance was developed through an iterative consensus process. Standard PCR testing detected HPV in 55.2 % (64/116) of initially "HPV-negative" samples. Whole genome sequencing of PCR-negative samples identified HPV in an additional 7 samples (overall 61.2 % HPV positivity). Reasons for failure to detect HPV in an HSIL+ lesion are listed and guidance to identify cases for extended re-testing, including which information should be included when referring samples to an NRL are presented. Monitoring the proportion of and reasons for failure to detect HPV in HSIL+ will help support high performance and quality improvement of HPV testing services. We encourage implementation of QA strategies based on re-analysis of "HPV negative" HSIL+ samples.

Audit of laboratory sensitivity of human papillomavirus and cytology testing in a cervical screening program

AbstractThe globally recommended public health policy for cervical screening is primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening with cytology triaging of positives. To ensure optimal quality of laboratory services we have conducted regular audits of cervical smears taken before cervical cancer or cancer in situ (CIN3+) within an HPV‐based screening program. The central cervical screening laboratory of Stockholm, Sweden, identified cases of CIN3+ who had had a previous cervical screening test up to 3 years before and randomly selected 300 cervical liquid‐based cytology (LBC) samples for auditing. HPV testing with Roche Cobas was performed either at screening or with biobanked samples. HPV negative samples and subsequent biopsies were retrieved and tested with modified general primer HPV PCR and, if still HPV‐negative, the LBCs and biopsies were whole genome sequenced. The Cobas 4800 detected HPV in 1020/1052 (97.0%) LBC samples taken before CIN3+. Further analyses found HPV in 28 samples, with nine of those containing HPV types not targeted by the Cobas 4800 test. There were 4 specimens (4/1052, 0.4%) where no HPV was detected. By comparison, the proportion of CIN3+ cases that were positive in a previous cytology were 91.6%. We find that the routine HPV screening test had a sensitivity in the real‐life screening program of 97.0%. Regular laboratory audits of cervical samples taken before CIN3+ can be readily performed within a real‐life screening program and provide assurance that the laboratory of the real‐life program has the expected performance.

Randomised trial on treatment of vaginal high‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion: Self‐administered vaginal imiquimod and laser vaporisation

AbstractHigh grade vaginal squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) (or vaginal intraepithelial neoplasia; VAIN) is a rare human papillomavirus (HPV)‐related cancer precursor, which is commonly treated with laser vaporisation or other surgical methods to prevent progression to invasion. Vaginal HSIL has a substantial tendency to relapse despite treatment, for which HPV persistence is a known risk factor. Imiquimod is a topically applied immunomodulator and has shown promise in the treatment of high‐grade HPV‐related genital cancer precursors. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy and patient compliance of self‐administered vaginal imiquimod in comparison to laser vaporisation in the treatment of vaginal HSIL. We recruited 56 women with histological vaginal HSIL into a randomised controlled trial of laser vaporisation and self‐administered vaginal imiquimod with follow‐up up to 6 months. Follow‐up visits included colposcopy, punch biopsies, and cervical or vaginal swabs for HPV genotyping. In per protocol analyses of 26 women in the laser arm and 27 women in the imiquimod arm, 53.8% and 77.8% (p = 0.07), respectively, showed histological regression at the end of the study. No progressions to invasion were detected during the study period. Genotype‐specific post‐treatment negativity for HPV occurred in 16.7% of the laser group and in 39.1% of the imiquimod group (p = 0.12). Imiquimod had short‐term adverse effects, but 93% completed treatment as instructed. We conclude that vaginal imiquimod is an effective treatment for vaginal HSIL and could be considered an alternative to laser vaporisation.

Deep sequencing detects human papillomavirus (HPV) in cervical cancers negative for HPV by PCR

Abstract Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a necessary cause of cervical cancer, although some invasive cervical cancers may test negative by HPV PCR. We previously requested all invasive cervical cancers in Sweden during 10 years and subjected them to PCR. We also optimised methods for deep sequencing of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded samples. Methods Using Novaseq 6000, we simultaneously sequenced total DNA and cDNA from 392 HPV PCR-negative cervical cancers. Non-human reads were queried against all known HPVs. The complete database now contains PCR and/or deep sequencing data on 2850 invasive cervical cancers. Results HPV sequences were detected in 169/392 of HPV PCR-negative cervical cancers. Overall, 30 different HPV types were detected, but only 5 types were present in proportions above 3% of cancers. More than 92% of tumours were HPV-positive in PCR and/or sequencing (95% confidence interval: 91.1–93.1%). Exploring possible reasons for failure to previously detect HPV suggest that more sensitive type-specific PCRs for HPV 31, 33, 45 and 73 targeting retained regions of HPV would have detected most of these (117/392). Conclusions Unbiased deep sequencing provides comprehensive data on HPV types in cervical cancers and appears to be an important tool for quality assurance of HPV screening.

HPV Types in Cervical Precancer by HIV Status and Birth Region: A Population-Based Register Study

Abstract Background: Data are lacking regarding which human papillomavirus (HPV) types cause high-grade cervical neoplasia (CIN2+) in people with HIV in Europe. We assessed which HPV types are associated with CIN2+ in women living in Sweden by HIV status. Methods: The Swedish National HIV Registry, the Swedish Population Registry, and the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry were linked. CIN2+ tissue blocks of 130 women living with HIV (WLWH) and 234 HIV-negative women, matched for country of birth (1:2), were retrieved from bio-banks and HPV genotyped. Adjusted ORs (adjOR), stratified by country of birth, were calculated using conditional logistic regression. Matching was broken for cross-group comparisons. Results: WLWH with CIN2 were less likely to have HPV16 [14% vs. 40%; adjOR 0.1; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.04–0.56] than HIV-negative women, but among women with CIN3, there was no difference in HPV16 prevalence by HIV status (adjOR 0.9; 95% CI, 0.51–1.70). WLWH were six times more likely to have HPV35 in CIN3 than HIV-negative women (adjOR 6.2; 95% CI, 1.3–30.4). WLWH from sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) had less 9-valent vaccine types, compared with both HIV-negative women born in Sweden (adjOR 0.1; 95% CI, 0.02–0.44) and WLWH born in Sweden (adjOR 0.1; 95% CI, 0.01–0.73), mostly because of decreased HPV16 and increased HPV35. Conclusions: WLWH from SSA were less likely to be covered by the 9-valent vaccine, mostly due to less HPV16 and more HPV35. Impact: This could have implications for HPV vaccines, currently not including HPV35, and for HPV-screening algorithms in women with origin from SSA.

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Human papillomavirus types in cervical dysplasia among young HPV‐vaccinated women: Population‐based nested case–control study

Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines protect against infections with the most oncogenic HPV types, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) and cervical cancer. We investigated whether development of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) lesions in HPV‐vaccinated women is associated with vaccine‐targeted HPV types or not. Linkage of the Swedish vaccination and cervical screening registries identified all females born 1980–2000 who had been HPV vaccinated before December 31, 2014 (n = 305,320) and had attended cervical screening in 2006–2018 (n = 79,491). We further selected women HPV vaccinated below 17 years of age and screened in the capital region (n = 5,874). Among those, 125 developed CIN and had a cervical cryopreserved sample available (42.5% of all eligible CIN cases). After 1:2 matching to disease‐free HPV vaccinated controls (n = 242), samples were analyzed for HPV DNA and associations between HPV type and CIN diagnosis were estimated with conditional logistic regression. Vaccine‐targeted HPV types were rare among both CIN cases (2.4% HPV16, 0.8% HPV18) and their matched controls (0.4% HPV16 and 18). No woman had HPV6 or 11. The CIN lesions were associated with the nonvaccine HPV types 31, 33, 42, 45, 51, 52, 56, 59 and 66. CIN lesions among young HPV vaccinated women are mostly attributable to infection with nonvaccine HPV types. The phenomenon may be important for surveillance and design of cervical cancer control strategies.

Baseline findings and safety of infrequent vs. frequent screening of human papillomavirus vaccinated women

Less frequent cervical cancer screening in human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccinated birth cohorts could produce considerable savings without increasing cervical cancer incidence and loss of life‐years. We report here the baseline findings and interim results of safety and accuracy of infrequent screening among HPV16/18 vaccinated females. The entire 1992–1994 birth‐cohorts (30,139 females) were invited to a community‐randomized HPV16/18‐vaccination trial. A total of 9,482 female trial participants received HPV16/18‐vaccination in 2007–2009 at age of 13–15. At age 22, 4,273 (45%) of these females consented to attend a randomized trial on frequent (ages 22/25/28; Arm 1: 2,073 females) vs. infrequent screening (age 28; Arm 2: 2,200 females) in 2014–2017. Females (1,329), who had got HPV16/18 vaccination at age 18 comprised the safety Arm 3. Baseline prevalence and incidence of HPV16/18 and other high‐risk HPV types were: 0.5% (53/1,000 follow‐up years, 104) and 25% (2,530/104) in the frequently screened Arm 1; 0.2% (23/104) and 24% (2,413/104) in the infrequently screened Arm 2; and 3.1% (304/104) and 23% (2,284/104) in the safety Arm 3. Corresponding prevalence of HSIL/ASC‐H and of any abnormal cytological findings were: 0.3 and 4.2% (Arm 1), 0.4 and 5.3% (Arm 2) and 0.3 and 4.7% (Arm 3). Equally rare HSIL/CIN3 findings in the infrequently screened safety Arm A3 (0.4%) and in the frequently screened Arm 1 (0.4%) indicate no safety concerns on infrequent screening despite the up to 10 times higher HPV16/18 baseline prevalence and incidence in the former.

Human papillomavirus seroprevalence in pregnant women following gender-neutral and girls-only vaccination programs in Finland: A cross-sectional cohort analysis following a cluster randomized trial

BackgroundCervical cancer elimination through human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programs requires the attainment of herd effect. Due to its uniquely high basic reproduction number, the vaccination coverage required to achieve herd effect against HPV type 16 exceeds what is attainable in most populations. We have compared how gender-neutral and girls-only vaccination strategies create herd effect against HPV16 under moderate vaccination coverage achieved in a population-based, community-randomized trial.Methods and findingsIn 2007–2010, the 1992–1995 birth cohorts of 33 Finnish communities were randomized to receive gender-neutral HPV vaccination (Arm A), girls-only HPV vaccination (Arm B), or no HPV vaccination (Arm C) (11 communities per trial arm). HPV16/18/31/33/35/45 seroprevalence differences between the pre-vaccination era (2005–2010) and post-vaccination era (2011–2016) were compared between all 8,022 unvaccinated women <23 years old and resident in the 33 communities during 2005–2016 (2,657, 2,691, and 2,674 in Arms A, B, and C, respectively). Post- versus pre-vaccination-era HPV seroprevalence ratios (PRs) were compared by arm. Possible outcome misclassification was quantified via probabilistic bias analysis. An HPV16 and HPV18 seroprevalence reduction was observed post-vaccination in the gender-neutral vaccination arm in the entire study population (PR16= 0.64, 95% CI 0.10–0.85; PR18= 0.72, 95% CI 0.22–0.96) and for HPV16 also in the herpes simplex virus type 2 seropositive core group (PR16= 0.64, 95% CI 0.50–0.81). Observed reductions in HPV31/33/35/45 seroprevalence (PR31/33/35/45= 0.88, 95% CI 0.81–0.97) were replicated in Arm C (PR31/33/35/45= 0.79, 95% CI 0.69–0.90).ConclusionsIn this study we only observed herd effect against HPV16/18 after gender-neutral vaccination with moderate vaccination coverage. With only moderate vaccination coverage, a gender-neutral vaccination strategy can facilitate the control of even HPV16. Our findings may have limited transportability to other vaccination coverage levels.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov numberNCT00534638,https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00534638.

Human papillomavirus vaccine efficacy against invasive, HPV-positive cancers: population-based follow-up of a cluster-randomised trial

Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination protects against HPV, a necessary risk factor for cervical cancer. We now report results from population-based follow-up of randomised cohorts that vaccination provides HPV-type-specific protection against invasive cancer. Methods Individually and/or cluster randomised cohorts of HPV-vaccinated and non-vaccinated women were enrolled in 2002–2005. HPV vaccine cohorts comprised originally 16–17 year-old HPV 16/18-vaccinated PATRICIA (NCT00122681) and 012 trial (NCT00169494) participants (2465) and HPV6/11/16/18-vaccinated FUTURE II (NCT00092534) participants (866). Altogether, 3341 vaccines were followed by the Finnish Cancer Registry in the same way as 16 526 non-HPV-vaccinated controls. The control cohort stemmed from 15 665 originally 18–19 years-old women enrolled in 2003 (6499) or 2005 (9166) and 861 placebo recipients of the FUTURE II trial. The follow-up started 6 months after the clinical trials in 2007 and 2009 and ended in 2019. It was age aligned for the cohorts. Findings During a follow-up time of up to 11 years, we identified 17 HPV-positive invasive cancer cases (14 cervical cancers, 1 vaginal cancer, 1 vulvar cancer and 1 tongue cancer) in the non-HPV-vaccinated cohorts and no cases in the HPV-vaccinated cohorts. HPV typing of diagnostic tumour blocks found HPV16 in nine cervical cancer cases, HPV18, HPV33 and HPV52 each in two cases and HPV45 in one cervical cancer case. The vaginal, vulvar and tongue cancer cases were, respectively, positive for HPV16, HPV52/66 and HPV213. Intention-to-treat vaccine efficacy against all HPV-positive cancers was 100% (95% CI 2 to 100, p<0.05). Interpretation Vaccination is effective against invasive HPV-positive cancer. Trial registration number NCT00122681, Post-results; NCT00169494, Post-results; NCT00092534, Post-results.

Validation of the cobas 6800 human papillomavirus test in primary cervical screening

Evaluation of Human Papillomavirus (HPV) testing systems suitable for large-scale organized cervical screening programs is required. We evaluated the cobas 6800 HPV test system for detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse (CIN3+) when nested in an organized primary HPV screening program, using the cobas 4800 test as comparator. The Karolinska University Hospital Cervical Cytology Biobank, containing frozen cervical samples from >700,000 women participating in organized cervical screening, was linked to the Swedish national cervical screening registry to identify 470 stored cervical samples taken <180 days before histopathological diagnosis of CIN3+. Two controls per case, with no abnormal results for 2 screening rounds, matched for age and sampling time were also retrieved. Aliquots from 1406 women were retrieved and re-tested on the cobas 4800 system and tested on the cobas 6800 system. There was high reproducibility between the original cobas 4800 HPV test results, and the cobas 4800 HPV re-testing performed on the samples retrieved from biobank storage. 462/464 biobanked samples from women with CIN3+ tested HPV-positive on the cobas 6800 system, corresponding to a relative sensitivity of 99.6%. 925/932 biobanked samples from control women tested HPV-negative on the cobas 6800 platform, corresponding to a relative specificity of 99.2%. By conventional criteria, the cobas 6800 was non-inferior both regarding relative sensitivity of >90% (non-inferiority p-value <0.0001) and relative specificity of >98% (non-inferiority p-value 0.006). We conclude that the cobas 6800 HPV test system had similar, high performance as the cobas 4800 such, when evaluated using cervical samples taken before CIN3+ in a real-life primary HPV screening program.

Human papillomavirus load and genotype analysis improves the prediction of invasive cervical cancer

AbstractHuman papillomavirus (HPV)‐based cervical screening is a globally recommended health policy. Different HPV types have different risk for cervical cancer. For optimal HPV screening, the sensitivity and specificity for each HPV type at different viral loads should be known in a screening setting. HPV test results in about 1 million cervical samples analyzed during 2006 to 2014 were compared for 319 women who had developed invasive cervical cancer up to 8.5 years later and for 1911 matched control women. Detection including low viral loads resulted in markedly increased sensitivity for cervical cancer only for HPV types 16 and 18. Testing for HPV types 31, 33, 45 and 52 also increased the sensitivity for prediction of cervical cancer, but for these viruses, detection of low viral load did not further increase sensitivity. HPV types 35, 39, 51, 56, 58, 59, 66 and 68 only predicted occasional additional cervical cancer cases. Testing for HPV16/18 at low viral load plus testing for HPV31, 33, 45 and 52 at >3000 copies/μL predicted 86.5% of cancers occurring within a year after testing, similar to the 89.4% that were predicted by testing for 14 HPV types. By contrast, the type and viral load‐restricted testing greatly increased specificity: 6.3% of healthy women tested positive as compared to 11.7% of healthy women testing positive for the 14 HPV types commonly screened for today. Adequate HPV screening sensitivity, with considerable increase in specificity, can be obtained by testing only for HPV16/18/31/33/45/52, with detection of low viral load required only for HPV16/18.

Assessing the risk of cervical neoplasia in the post‐HPV vaccination era

AbstractThis review is based on the recent EUROGIN scientific session: “Assessing risk of cervical cancer in the post‐vaccination era,” which addressed the demands of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN)/squamous intraepithelial lesion (SIL) triage now that the prevalence of vaccine‐targeted oncogenic high‐risk (hr) human papillomaviruses (HPVs) is decreasing. Change in the prevalence distribution of oncogenic HPV types that follows national HPV vaccination programs is setting the stage for loss of positive predictive value of conventional but possibly also new triage modalities. Understanding the contribution of the latter, most notably hypermethylation of cellular and viral genes in a new setting where most oncogenic HPV types are no longer present, requires studies on their performance in vaccinated women with CIN/SIL that are associated with nonvaccine HPV types. Lessons learned from this research may highlight the potential of cervical cells for risk prediction of all women's cancers.

Atypical glandular cells and development of cervical cancer: Population‐based cohort study

AbstractThe effect of cervical screening on cervical adenocarcinoma has been variable, possibly because the risk associated with the precursor atypical glandular cells (AGC) is not well known. A cohort of all 885 women in the capital region of Sweden with AGC, a concomitant human papillomavirus (HPV) analysis, and a histopathology was followed until 2019. Cumulative incidence proportions of cervical intraepithelial lesion grade 3 or worse (CIN3+) by HPV type was determined by 1‐Kaplan‐Meier estimates. Hazard ratios (HR) for CIN3+ or for invasive cancer were estimated with Cox regression. After 2 years of follow‐up, the cumulative incidence proportions of CIN3+ were 80% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 74‐86%), 58% (95% CI: 50‐60%) and 10% (95% CI: 5‐18%) among HPV16/18 positive, “other HPV” positive and HPV‐negative women, respectively. Among the 300 women with HPV16/18 positive AGC, 217 developed CIN3+ of which 35 were invasive cervical cancer. The 2‐year cumulative invasive cancer risk for HPV16/18 positive AGC was 17% (95% CI: 12‐24%). Primary HPV‐screening had a similar yield of CIN3+ as cytology screening, albeit HPV‐negative AGC is by design not detected by HPV screening. Among 241 women with HPV‐negative AGC, 11 developed CIN3+ mostly after clinically indicated samples. We found no significant risk differences depending on age or sampling indication. The low CIN3+ risk after HPV‐negative AGC implies safety of primary HPV screening. The high risk of invasive cervical cancer after HPV16/18 positive AGC implies that management of this finding is a priority in cervical screening.

Human papillomavirus self‐sampling with mRNA testing benefits routine screening

AbstractHigh risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) based screening provides the possibility of vaginal self‐sampling as a tool to increase screening attendance. In order to evaluate the impact and feasibility of opt‐in self‐sampling in the Finnish setting, we invited a randomized population of 5350 women not attending screening after age group invitation or after reminder, to attend HPV self‐sampling‐based screening in the autumn of 2018 in Helsinki. Out of those, 1282 (24.0%) expressed their interest and ordered the sampling package. Eventually 787 women (14.7% of the total invited population) took part in screening, 770 women by providing a vaginal sample within 2 months from invitation and 17 by providing a pap smear in the laboratory. Self‐taken samples were collected in Aptima Multitest vials and tested using the Aptima HPV mRNA assay. A high proportion, 158/770 (20.5%) of the samples were positive in the Aptima HPV assay. One hundred and forty‐one samples were further submitted to Aptima HPV Genotyping and extended genotyping by a Luminex based assay. Of those, 23 samples (16.3%) were HPV 16 positive and 7 (5.0%) were positive for HPV 18/45; extended genotyping revealed multiple high‐risk and low‐risk HPV genotypes. At follow‐up seven cases of high‐grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL) were diagnosed, which represents 4.4% of HPV positive women and 0.9% of screened women, whereas the rate was 0.5% in routine screening. Our findings suggest that self‐sampling with HPV mRNA testing is a feasible approach to improve screening efficacy in a high‐risk population among original nonattendees.

Human Papillomavirus Infection Determines Prognosis in Cervical Cancer

PURPOSE Detection of human papillomavirus (HPV) by polymerase chain reaction in invasive cervical cancer is strongly associated with prognosis but previous studies have not considered sequencing efforts. We aimed to assess the association when also including comprehensive analysis of HPV infection by deep sequencing and a longer follow-up period. MATERIALS AND METHODS We subjected all 392 of 2,845 invasive cervical cancer cases that were polymerase chain reaction–negative for HPV to RNA sequencing on the NovaSeq 6000 platform (Illumina) and identified an additional 169 cases as HPV-positive. We followed all women from date of diagnosis to December 31, 2016, emigration, or death, whichever occurred first. The main outcome was all-cause mortality by December 31, 2016. We calculated 5-year cumulative relative survival ratios compared with the female general population and used Poisson regression to estimate excess hazard ratios of all-cause mortality by infection with any of the 13 most oncogenic (high-risk [hr]) HPV types in the tumor. All models were adjusted for age, time since diagnosis, stage, histology, and education level. RESULTS The 5-year cumulative relative survival ratio was 0.45 (95% CI, 0.39 to 0.51) in the hrHPV-negative group, and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.75) in the hrHPV-positive group. This translated to a statistically significantly 43% lower excess mortality in the hrHPV-positive group compared with the hrHPV-negative (corresponding to an excess hazard ratio 0.57; 95% CI, 0.48 to 0.69). There was no association between HPV risk group, clade, or number of HPV infections and prognosis. CONCLUSION hrHPV status is a strong determinant of cervical cancer prognosis over 15 years after diagnosis, above and beyond other established factors.

The International Human Papillomavirus Reference Center: Standardization, collaboration, and quality assurance in HPV research and diagnostics

AbstractThe International Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Reference Center (IHRC) confirms and assigns type numbers to novel HPV types, maintains a reference clone repository, and issues international proficiency panels for HPV screening and genotyping. Furthermore, the Center coordinates the Global HPV Reference Laboratory Network that promotes collaboration and international exchange of experiences among national HPV reference laboratories, to further international standardization and quality assurance in the HPV field. The established HPV types (n = 225) belong to 5 different genera: alpha (n = 65), beta (n = 54), gamma (n = 102), mu (n = 3) and nu (n = 1). Since the last published IHRC overview in 2018, 6 novel types have been established, with 5/6 belonging to the gamma genus and 1/6 to beta genus. Also, 474 reference clones have been provided to 55 different research laboratories and the global proficiency program for HPV genotyping has seen an increasing proficiency (despite a decrease seen in 2019), from 68% proficiency in 2017 to 77.3% in 2022. The first proficiency study for HPV screening found an international proficiency of up to 77%. In summary, increasing complexity of the HPVs and demands on quality assurance in the era of cervical cancer elimination requires international efforts to support proficiency and recognized quality and order among HPV types.

Cervical cancer screening improvements with self-sampling during the COVID-19 pandemic

Background: At the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic cervical screening in the capital region of Sweden was canceled for several months. A series of measures to preserve and improve the cervical screening under the circumstances were instituted, including a switch to screening with HPV self-sampling to enable screening in compliance with social distancing recommendations. Methods: We describe the major changes implemented, which were (1) nationwide implementation of HPV screening, (2) switch to primary self-sampling instead of clinician sampling, (3) implementation of HPV screening in all screening ages, and (4) combined HPV vaccination and HPV screening in the cervical screening program. Results: A temporary government regulation allowed primary self-sampling with HPV screening in all ages. In the Stockholm region, 330,000 self-sampling kits were sent to the home address of screening-eligible women, instead of an invitation to clinician sampling. An increase in organized population test coverage was seen (from 54% to 60% in just 1 year). In addition, a national campaign for faster elimination of cervical cancer with concomitant screening and vaccination for women in ages 23–28 was launched. Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic necessitated major changes in the cervical cancer preventive strategies, where it can already be concluded that the strategy with organized primary self-sampling for HPV has resulted in a major improvement of population test coverage. Funding: Funded by the Swedish Association of Local Authorities and Regions, the Swedish Cancer Society, the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program, the Swedish government, and the Stockholm county.

Impact of cervical screening by human papillomavirus genotype: Population-based estimations

Background Cervical screening programs use testing for human papillomavirus (HPV) genotypes. Different HPV types differ greatly in prevalence and oncogenicity. We estimated the impact of cervical screening and follow-up for each HPV type. Methods and findings For each type of HPV, we calculated the number of women needed to screen (NNS) and number of women needing follow-up (NNF) to detect or prevent one cervical cancer case, using the following individual level input data (i) screening and cancer data for all women aged 25 to 80 years, resident in Sweden during 2004 to 2011 (N = 3,568,938); (ii) HPV type-specific prevalences and screening histories among women with cervical cancer in Sweden in 2002 to 2011(N = 4,254); (iii) HPV 16/18/other HPV prevalences in the population-based HPV screening program (N = 656,607); and (iv) exact HPV genotyping in a population-based cohort (n = 12,527). Historical screening attendance was associated with a 72% reduction of cervical cancer incidence caused by HPV16 (71.6%, 95% confidence interval (CI) [69.1%, 73.9%]) and a 54% reduction of cancer caused by HPV18 (53.8%, 95% CI [40.6%, 63.1%]). One case of HPV16-caused cervical cancer could be prevented for every 5,527 women attending screening (number needed to screen, NNS). Prevention of one case of HPV16-caused cervical cancer required follow-up of 147 HPV16–positive women (number needed to follow-up, NNF). The NNS and NNF were up to 40 to 500 times higher for HPV types commonly screened for with lower oncogenic potential (HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68). For women below 30 years of age, NNS and NNF for HPV16 were 4,747 and 289, respectively, but >220,000 and >16,000 for HPV35,39,51,56,59,66,68. All estimates were either age-standarized or age-stratified. The primary limitation of our study is that NNS is dependent on the HPV prevalence that can differ between populations and over time. However, it can readily be recalculated in other settings and monitored when HPV type-specific prevalence changes. Other limitations include that in some age groups, there was little data and extrapolations had to be made. Finally, there were very few cervical cancer cases associated with certain HPV types in young age group. Conclusions In this study, we observed that the impact of cervical cancer screening varies depending on the HPV type screened for. Estimating and monitoring the impact of screening by HPV type can facilitate the design of effective and efficient HPV-based cervical screening programs. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov with numbers NCT00479375, NCT01511328.

Long‐term follow‐up of cervical cancer incidence after normal cytological findings

AbstractAn increase in cervical cancer incidence in Sweden from 2014 to 2015 has been attributed to an increase in false‐negative cytological findings before cancer diagnoses. Years later, we performed a long‐term follow‐up to investigate whether the problem persisted. At each calendar year from 2016 to 2020, we identified women with prior normal cervical screening results through linkage to the Swedish National Cervical Screening Registry. We reported their incidence rates (IRs) of invasive cervical cancer in consecutive years and compared the IRs over time. For the years 2016 to 2020, there was no overall change in cervical cancer incidence after two normal cytology in the last two screening intervals. However, there was a further 62% increase among women 50 to 60 years of age with normal cytology in the past two screening intervals. The incidence rate of cervical cancer was high among nonscreened women and low among HPV‐screened women with negative results, with no trends over time. Our results imply that the previously reported decrease in sensitivity of cervical cytology is persisting. Although primary cytology screening is no longer used, cytology is used in triaging among HPV‐positive women. Our findings suggest that improved triaging is needed, for example, improved quality assurance and/or use of alternative triage tests.

First international proficiency study on human papillomavirus testing in cervical cancer screening

Although cervical screening using Human Papillomavirus (HPV) testing is globally recommended public health policy, there has been no international proficiency studies specifically targeting HPV testing for cervical screening. To obtain the first global overview of the current proficiency of HPV testing services for cervical cancer screening. A coded proficiency panel of 12 samples containing HPV types 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58 or 35/39/51/56/59/68 in human DNA in varying amounts as well as control. Datasets detecting at least a) 10 International Units (IU) of HPV16 and 18, b) 1000 IU of HPV types 31, 33, 45, 52, 58 and c) having no false positives were considered proficient. In total, 84 laboratories worldwide submitted 158 datasets (some laboratories used >1 HPV testing platform). Of those, 122 (77%) were 100% proficient. Only 14/158 datasets (9%) contained false positive results. Comparison of results with assays approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) suggest that future proficiency requirements should also accommodate assays detecting only 100 IU of HPV16/18. A pool of low oncogenicity HPV types that contributed very little to sensitivity, but adversely affected specificity, was detectable by most datasets. Internationally recognized proficiency studies of HPV screening, traceable to international standards, provided an overview of current testing performance. There was a high level of proficiency in terms of sensitivity and few false positives, but specificity was not optimal and further research on optimal specificity of HPV screening tests may be warranted.

Nobel calling Harald zur Hausen

Scientific approaches toward improving cervical cancer elimination strategies

AbstractAt the 2023 EUROGIN workshop scientific basis for strategies to accelerate the elimination of cervical cancer and its causative agent, human papillomavirus (HPV) were reviewed. Although some countries have reached key performance indicators toward elimination (>90% of girls HPV vaccinated and >70% of women HPV screened), most are yet to reach these targets, implying a need for improved strategies. Gender‐neutral vaccination, even with moderate vaccination coverage was highlighted as a strategy to achieve elimination more rapidly. It is more resilient against major disturbances in vaccination delivery, such as what happened during the coronavirus pandemic. Further, an analysis of ethical/legal issues indicated that female‐restricted vaccination is problematic. Extended catch‐up of vaccination with concomitant screening, and outreach to vulnerable groups were highlighted. Although birth cohorts with high coverage of HPV vaccination at school are protected against HPV, and HPVs have a very low reproductive rate in women above age 35, adult women below age 30 have inadequate direct protection. In addition to herd protection from gender‐neutral vaccination, this group can be protected by offering concomitant catch‐up HPV vaccination and HPV screening. Furthermore, hepatitis B vaccination experiences indicate that elimination cannot be achieved without prioritizing vulnerable/migrant populations. The long‐lasting durability of vaccination‐induced antibody responses suggests prolonged protection with HPV vaccines when adequately administrated. Finally, cost‐effectiveness modelling suggests that high‐coverage HPV vaccination in multiple population segments will be resource‐saving due to reduced need for screening. In summary, the workshop found that strategically optimal deployment of vaccination will accelerate elimination of HPV and cervical cancer.

Reflections Regarding Validation of New HPV Tests With Reduced HPV Genotypes: Report From an IARC Expert Consultation

ABSTRACT Of the 12 HPV genotypes classified as carcinogenic to humans (Group 1), over 95% of HPV‐positive cervical cancers are linked to eight genotypes (HPV16/18/31/33/35/45/52/58). Screening programmes may consider HPV tests incorporating only these genotypes to improve screening efficiency and reduce programmatic costs. Validation of such tests requires fine‐tuning of existing criteria. An expert group convened by the International Agency for Research on Cancer discussed how existing criteria by Meijer et al. for HPV screening clinical validation should be adapted to evaluate new reduced‐valency HPV tests. Experts identified four key criteria: (1) Clinical performance criteria should meet WHO HPV test Target Product Profiles (TPP) minimal standards with high relative sensitivity ( ≥ 0.90 for CIN2+ and ≥ 0.95 for CIN3+) and relative specificity ( ≥ 0.98 for ≤ CIN1) to detect CIN2/3+ lesions associated with types targeted by the test, as established by a comparator test providing information on the presence of the targeted genotypes; (2) Comparator tests should be clinically validated according to Meijer criteria principles for comparator tests, and should offer HPV genotyping to detect at least the types included in the reduced‐valency test; (3) Cervical samples should be representative of a population‐based screening programme; (4) Intra‐ and inter‐laboratory reproducibility should adhere to Meijer criteria and, preferentially also the more stringent TPP. As the global HPV type distribution in cervical cancer is well known, a future evaluation strategy may consider including both virological and simplified clinical standards. The consultation highlights essential criteria building on existing clinical accuracy standards, enriched with analytical standards. These criteria will be instrumental in ensuring both accuracy and reliability of new reduced‐valency HPV tests for cervical cancer screening highly needed to assure 70% coverage aim of cervical cancer elimination.

Evaluation of DNA Methylation Markers for Endometrial Cancer Risk-stratification Using Patient-collected Urine and Vaginal Samples and Clinician-collected Cervical Samples From Women With Postmenopausal Bleeding

The goal of this observational study is to investigate the clinical utility of DNA-methylation testing in urine and vaginal samples collected by patients and cervical samples collected by clinicians, to determine the risk of endometrial cancer in symptomatic women with postmenopausal bleeding. The study aims to answer the following research questions: * What is the diagnostic accuracy of DNA methylation testing in urine, vaginal and cervical samples compared to traditional TVUS for endometrial cancer detection? * What is the 2-year risk of EC among women testing negative on TVUS and/or DNA methylation tests or those testing positive on methylation only? Researchers will compare DNA methylation testing in patient-collected urine and vaginal samples as well as in clinician-collected cervical samples, with the traditional diagnostic pathway for women with PMB, which includes TVUS evaluation, and when indicated by abnormal TVUS findings, endometrial biopsy according to clinical guidelines. Participants will * take a urine and vaginal sample * have a cervical sample collected by a clinician * undergo TVUS evaluation according to clinical guidelines * If TVUS shows thickened endometrium (≥ 5 mm) and/or irregularity, an endometrial biopsy will be collected according to clinical guidelines * fill out a questionnaire regarding acceptability and preferences of sampling methods and complete a lifestyle questionnaire.

The Clinical Utility of DNA Methylation Testing in Patient-collected Urine and Vaginal Samples to Detect Endometrial Cancer: a Case-control Study

The goal of this observational case-control study is to investigate the use of DNA-methylation testing in patient-collected urine and vaginal samples to detect endometrial cancer. The study aims to answer the following questions: * Can DNA methylation testing in vaginal and full-void urine samples distinguish endometrial cancer cases from healthy controls? Researchers will compare patient-collected urine and vaginal samples from patients with diagnosed endometrial cancer (cases) to gynaecologically and oncologically healthy controls (controls). Participants will * take a urine and vaginal sample at the hospital. * answer a questionnaire regarding acceptability and preferences of self-sampling methods. * answer a lifestyle questionnaire.

Human Papillomavirus Self-sampling for Enhancing Cervical Screening During the War in Ukraine

In 2020, a cervical screening center was established in Zaporizhzhia (Ukraine), initiating a pilot project to evaluate the prevalence of HPV among women in Eastern Ukraine. The findings were intended to lay the groundwork for the Ukrainian Ministry of Health in establishing a structured national screening program. However, all efforts were halted due to the nearby armed conflict, situated just 40 kilometers from the border. The World Health Organization's goal to eliminate cervical cancer globally has a gap when it comes to managing cancer control during crises like armed conflicts. We propose a demonstration project to assess whether a simpler, yet modern, cervical cancer control strategy (based on using self-sampling for HPV detection) could also be effective for cervical cancer screening in Zaporizhzhia. Women aged 30-60 years who have not had a recent negative HPV test will be invited to participate. Participants receive a self-sampling kit from their primary care provider and can return the sample free of charge to the clinic or community volunteers. All samples are analyzed in accredited laboratories in Zaporizhzhia. HPV-positive women will receive follow-up care according to national guidelines, including referral to gynecologists for additional tests and treatment if needed. HPV-negative women will be reassured and advised on future screening intervals. The study also evaluates how well the screening program can be implemented during conflict conditions. This includes measuring women's acceptance of self-sampling, the willingness of providers to adopt the procedures, and whether the screening process is feasible, practical, and sustainable. Additional process evaluation will explore how the program adapts to challenges such as migration, disrupted health services, and safety concerns. This project is conducted through collaboration between Zaporizhzhia State Medical and Pharmaceutical University, the Charitable Foundation "World Against Cancer," and Karolinska Institutet in Sweden, which provides quality assurance support for laboratory procedures. The goal is to establish a safe, effective, and sustainable cervical cancer screening model that can be used in conflict-affected regions and similar settings. This work is supported by a grant from the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC), as part of the Reimagining Cancer Research in Europe Initiative.

Clinical Studies of Endometrial Cytology and Cervical Methylation Assays in Endometrial Cancer Screening and Fertility-Preservation Evaluation

The current study aims to assess high-risk patients using both liquid-based cytology and cervical methylation testing. The results will be compared with the traditional hysteroscopic pathological findings to determine the sensitivity and specificity of these methods for early detection of endometrial cancer, thereby evaluating their potential application in early screening. Primary Objectives： 1. To evaluate the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of endometrial cytology for screening endometrial cancer. 2. To assess the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of methylation testing for screening endometrial cancer. 3. To perform further molecular testing on tissue samples obtained from endometrial cytology and cervical methylation tests, aiming to explore early screening-sensitive indicators. Secondary Objectives： 1. To determine the value of endometrial cytology in evaluating the efficacy of fertility-sparing treatments for endometrial cancer. 2. To assess the value of methylation testing in evaluating the efficacy of fertility-sparing treatments for endometrial cancer.

Concomitant HPV Vaccination and HPV Screening HPV Infection and Cervical Cancer in Sweden

The study aims to evaluate whether organised, concomitant HPV vaccination and HPV screening offered to all resident women aged 22-27 will result in a more rapid elimination of HPV infection in Sweden. This objective will be examined at the population level.

Research Project on Reminders and Self-Sampling Can Increase Participation in Gynecology Cell Sampling - Preventive Examination Against Cervical Cancer.

Prevention of cervical cancer with cervical screening is one of the most successful screening activities in medicine. In Sweden, screening was implemented in the 1960s and has since prevented tens of thousands of women from having cervical cancer. Individual invitations to screening result in increased attendance therefore evaluating strategies for reaching women through invitations is particularly valuable. Women who regularly attend screening following an invitation reduce their risk of cervical cancer by as much as 90%. Of the women who are diagnosed with cervical cancer (about 550 women per year in Sweden), as many as 38% did not participate in the screening. Invitations for screening are sent to the entire population in Sweden aged 23-70. The current coverage of screening is 82.9%, which represents the proportion of women ages 23-70 who attend according to recommendations. In addition, many women are sporadic attenders who reduce their risk for cancer somewhat. The highest cancer risk is seen among those women who have never participated as well as women who have had a history of precancerous lesions or HPV infection but have not been followed-up. Cervical cancer is the first form of cancer for which there are approved molecular screening tests (HPV test). Unlike the older screening method (cytology), self-collected samples can be analyzed for HPV (the analysis method is so sensitive that it does not matter if the sample is not optimally taken). Invitations and reminders about cervical screening are sent by letter to the woman's home address (about 3 million letters per year in Sweden). This strategy results in a waste of resources and has a negative environmental impact. Regarding reminders, we have seen in previous research that the effect is not optimal. When sending a physical reminder letter to women who have not participated in more than 10 years (current routine), only 2% of the women invited came for sampling. Reminders with SMS are now standard for many businesses in society, such as car testing or dental appointments. It is inexpensive, saves the environment and there are studies that suggest it is more effective than sending physical letters. In this study, we intend to investigate whether SMS reminders, electronic letters, and physical letters for screening lead to increased participation and thus to a higher proportion of detected, treatable precursors of cervical cancer compared to before.

Follow-up of Cell Changes in the Cervix

The purpose of the study is to follow up on cell changes detected in the cervical cancer screening program, to investigate whether they are handled with adequate quality.

Randomized Implementation of Primary HPV Testing in the Organized Screening for Cervical Cancer in Stockholm

The purpose is to evaluate whether implementation of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening in the screening programme for cervical cancer improves the programme in terms of better cancer protection and better cost efficiency.

Effectiveness, Safety and Immunogenicity of GSK Biologicals' HPV Vaccine GSK580299 (Cervarix) Administered in Healthy Adolescents

Genital infections with oncogenic human papillomaviruses (HPV) are common in both men and women. The most important disease associated with oncogenic HPV infection is cervical cancer, currently the second leading cause of cancer-related death among women globally. The current study is designed to evaluate the overall impact of HPV immunization in adolescents 12-15 years of age.

Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasm (CIN) in Women (Gardasil) (V501-015)

The primary purpose of the study is to determine if GARDASIL™ (V501) is able to prevent cervical cancer.

Randomized Controlled Trial of Human Papillomavirus Testing in Primary Cervical Cancer Screening

Human papillomavirus (HPV)-based cervical screening is known to increase sensitivity for detection of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN). Randomized trials of longitudinal efficacy are required to assess whether these gains represent overdiagnosis or a protective effect. Methods: A total of 12527 women, aged 32-38, attending population-based invitational screening in Sweden were randomized 1:1 to HPV test and cytology (intervention arm) or cytology only (control arm). HPV-positive women were invited for a second HPV test at least one year later and women with type-specific persistent infections were then invited to colposcopy. A similar number of random double-blinded procedures are performed in the control arm. Women are followed with comprehensive registry-based follow-up. Primary outcome is the relative rates of CIN grade 2 or worse (CIN2/CIN3+) found in subsequent screening. Secondary outcomes are the relative rates of CIN2/CIN3+ found in the aseline screening and outcomes stratified by grade of CIN (CIN 2 or CIN3+).