Bahriye Aktas

Calculating Future 10-Year Breast Cancer Risks in Risk-Adapted Surveillance: A Method Comparison and Application in Clinical Practice

Abstract The German Consortium for Hereditary Breast and Ovarian Cancer (GC-HBOC) has successfully implemented risk-adapted breast cancer surveillance for women at high breast cancer risk in Germany. Women with a family history of breast and ovarian cancer but without pathogenic germline variants in recognized breast cancer risk genes are recommended annual breast imaging if their predicted 10-year breast cancer risk is 5% or higher, using the Breast and Ovarian Analysis of Disease Incidence and Carrier Estimation Algorithm (BOADICEA) breast cancer risk model, as outlined in the current GC-HBOC guideline. However, women who initially do not meet this risk threshold may do so later, even if there is no new cancer in their family. To determine when this threshold is crossed, one could annually repeat BOADICEA calculations using an aging pedigree: the “prediction by aging pedigree” (AP) approach. Alternatively, we propose a simplified and more practical “'conditional probability” (CP) approach, which calculates future risks based on the initial BOADICEA assessment. Using data from 6,661 women registered with GC-HBOC, both methods were compared. Initially, 74% of women, ages 30 to 48 years, had a 10-year breast cancer risk below 5%, but 53% exceeded this threshold at an older age based on the AP approach. Among the women with an initial risk below the threshold, the CP approach revealed that 99% of women exceeded the 5% threshold at the same or an earlier age compared with the AP approach (88% of cases were within the same year or 1 year earlier). The CP approach has been implemented as a user-friendly web application. Prevention Relevance: The German Consortium for Hereditary Breast Cancer recommends annual breast imaging for women if their 10-year breast cancer risk is 5% or higher. Women who initially do not meet this risk threshold may do so later. We propose a simple method to determine future risks based on initial risk assessments.

The diagnostic value of core needle biopsy in cervical cancer: A retrospective analysis

Cervical carcinoma is a major cause of morbidity and mortality among women worldwide. Histological subtype, lymphovascular space invasion and tumor grade could have a prognostic and predictive value for patients’ outcome and the knowledge of these histologic characteristics may influence clinical decision making. However, studies evaluating the diagnostic value of various biopsy techniques regarding these parameters of cervical cancer are scarce. We reviewed 318 cases of cervical carcinoma with available pathology reports from preoperative core needle biopsy (CNB) assessment and from final postoperative evaluation of the hysterectomy specimen. Setting the postoperative comprehensive pathological evaluation as reference, we analysed CNB assessment of histological tumor characteristics. In addition, we performed multivariable logistic regression to identify factors influencing the accuracy in identifying LVSI and tumor grade. CNB was highly accurate in discriminating histological subtype. Sensitivity and specificity were 98.8% and 89% for squamous cell carcinoma, 92.9% and 96.6% for adenocarcinoma, 33.3% and 100% in adenosquamous carcinoma respectively. Neuroendocrine carcinoma was always recognized correctly. The accuracy of the prediction of LVSI was 61.9% and was positively influenced by tumor size in preoperative magnetic resonance imaging and negatively influenced by strong peritumoral inflammation. High tumor grade (G3) was diagnosed accurately in 73.9% of cases and was influenced by histological tumor type. In conclusion, CNB is an accurate sampling technique for histological classification of cervical cancer and represents a reasonable alternative to other biopsy techniques.